Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bury FC vs Preston

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Taylor K.
54' Event
Leigh L.
72' Event
Nelson K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Bury FC and Preston finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Preston.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bury FC
20%
Draws
38%
Preston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bury FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Bury FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bury FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 20%
Preston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bury FC Preston
Matches Played 19 27
Wins 13 8
Draws 1 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.33 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.33 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2023 Club Friendly
Bury FC vs Preston
0:3
Aug 1, 2015 Club Friendly
Bury FC vs Preston
3:2
Dec 26, 2012 League One
Preston vs Bury FC
0:0
Dec 18, 2012 EFL Trophy
Bury FC vs Preston
3:4
Sep 8, 2012 League One
Bury FC vs Preston
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bury FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Preston Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leigh L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury FC 42 / 100
Preston 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bury FC Preston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Preston conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Bury FC's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bury FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bury FC VS Preston
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury FC

(Home)
21 Jul
Bury FC
4 : 0
Wigan U21
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2
Bury FC
04 Oct
Runcorn Linnets
7 : 0
Bury FC
16 Sept
Wythenshawe Town
1 : 2
Bury FC
26 Jul
Radcliffe
3 : 2
Bury FC
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Preston

(Away)
24 Jul
Preston
0 : 1
Cambridge Utd
18 Jul
Sheffield Wed
3 : 2
Preston
14 Jul
Preston
4 : 1
Bamber Bridge
02 May
Preston
1 : 3
Southampton
25 Apr
Sheffield Utd
2 : 3
Preston
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