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Bury FC vs Stockport Town

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Club Friendly 2023
Tue, Jul 18, 2023
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bury FC host Stockport Town in the Club Friendly 2023. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Bury FC have averaged 2.5 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Stockport Town's 1 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Bury FC slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 0.88, favoring Bury FC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Bury FC
22%
Draws
18%
Stockport Town
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bury FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Bury FC have won more games recently than Stockport Town.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Bury FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 20%
Stockport Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bury FC Stockport Town
Matches Played 19 6
Wins 13 2
Draws 1 1
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Bury FC vs Stockport Town
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury FC 58 / 100
Stockport Town 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bury FC Stockport Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stockport Town conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bury FC scored in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Recent resilience: Bury FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bury FC VS Stockport Town
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury FC

(Home)
21 Jul
Bury FC
4 : 0
Wigan U21
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2
Bury FC
04 Oct
Runcorn Linnets
7 : 0
Bury FC
16 Sept
Wythenshawe Town
1 : 2
Bury FC
26 Jul
Radcliffe
3 : 2
Bury FC
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Stockport Town

(Away)
05 Jul
Colwyn Bay
0 : 1
Stockport Town
13 Jul
Stockport Town
3 : 3
Alsager
17 Jul
Stockport Town
0 : 5
Warrington Rylands
21 Jul
Ashton United
3 : 0
Stockport Town
15 Aug
Stockport Town
3 : 2
United of Manchester
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