Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Busan Kyotong vs Changwon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Busan Kyotong Logo

Busan Kyotong

4 - 3
FT
Changwon Logo

Changwon

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
15' Event
45' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Busan Kyotong in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Busan Kyotong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Busan Kyotong
20%
Draws
10%
Changwon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Busan Kyotong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Changwon haven't matched Busan Kyotong's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Busan Kyotong a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 68%
Changwon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Kyotong Changwon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Changwon
4:3
Apr 11, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Busan Kyotong
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Busan Kyotong
3:0
Jun 28, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Changwon
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Changwon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan Kyotong 86 / 100
Changwon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Kyotong Changwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Busan Kyotong Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan Kyotong scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Changwon has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Busan Kyotong went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Busan Kyotong VS Changwon
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan Kyotong

(Home)
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
Page 1 of 6

Changwon

(Away)
20 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
2 : 1
Changwon
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)