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Bustese Milano City vs MapelloBonate

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bustese Milano City in this Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bustese Milano City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bustese Milano City
33%
Draws
27%
MapelloBonate
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bustese Milano City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • MapelloBonate haven't matched Bustese Milano City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bustese Milano City's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bustese Milano City Clean Sheet 20%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bustese Milano City MapelloBonate
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Bustese Milano City vs MapelloBonate
2:1
Sep 6, 2015 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Bustese Milano City
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bustese Milano City 40 / 100
MapelloBonate 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bustese Milano City MapelloBonate

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MapelloBonate has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Bustese Milano City's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Bustese Milano City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bustese Milano City VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Piacenza38306285:2796
2Lecco382311483:4180
3Seregno Calcio3818101063:4764
4Ciliverghe Mazzano381871348:4961
5Ponte San Pietro3817101163:4861
6Olginatese3815111257:5056
7Inveruno381581565:5753
8Ciserano3813141148:5553
9Folgore Caratese3811171052:4850
10Monza3812131352:4949
11Grumellese3812121449:5348
12Pro Sesto381381750:5147
13Varesina3811141342:4947
14Pergolettese3811131438:4246
15Bustese Milano City3811121547:5845
16Ciserano-Bergamo381291744:6145
17Caravaggio387131835:5634
18Fiorenzuola385181528:5133
19MapelloBonate386131936:5931
20Sondrio38692339:7327