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Buxoro vs OKMK Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Buxoro FA Stadioni, Bukhara
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Mladjovic B. In: Filipovic V.
Out: Mladjovic B.
37'
Kholmurodov A.
41'
Ubaydullaev S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Buxoro and OKMK finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buxoro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Buxoro
20%
Draws
57%
OKMK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OKMK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Buxoro haven't matched OKMK's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 17%
OKMK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxoro OKMK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Super League
Buxoro vs OKMK
2:0
Apr 17, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Buxoro
3:2
Aug 1, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs OKMK
0:2
Jun 25, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Buxoro vs OKMK
3:1
Mar 7, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Buxoro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buxoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Esanov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodic V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

OKMK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxoro 36 / 100
OKMK 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxoro OKMK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKMK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buxoro scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: OKMK conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Buxoro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Buxoro VS OKMK
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxoro

(Home)
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
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OKMK

(Away)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)