Sport Picks

England

FA Cup

Ashton United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ashton United have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Buxton have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.87. Head-to-head, Buxton have won 3 to Ashton United's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.44) point toward Buxton. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Buxton

20%

Draws

29%

Ashton United

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buxton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Buxton come out ahead of Ashton United on wins alone.
Win probability leans Buxton's way, sitting at 50%.
Buxton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Buxton, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Buxton Clean Sheet 16%

Ashton United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Buxton	Ashton United
Matches Played	31	38
Wins	19	16
Draws	4	10
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.87	1.66
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.39
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly

Buxton vs Ashton United

1:0

Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly

Buxton vs Ashton United

4:1

Dec 11, 2021 NPL Premier Division

Buxton vs Ashton United

3:0

Sep 11, 2021 NPL Premier Division

Ashton United vs Buxton

1:1

Apr 24, 2021 NPL Premier Division

Buxton vs Ashton United

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxton 48 / 100

Ashton United 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Buxton Ashton United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buxton Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buxton scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Ashton United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Buxton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Buxton VS Ashton United

1.88 Goals Scored 1.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 1

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxton

(Home)

08 Sept

Buxton

5 : 0

Brackley

05 Sept

Morecambe

4 : 0

Buxton

31 Aug

Buxton

2 : 1

Merthyr Town

28 Aug

Oxford City

2 : 3

Buxton

22 Aug

Buxton

1 : 2

Hebburn Town

Page 1 of 7

Ashton United

(Away)

05 Sept

Whitby

2 : 5

Ashton United

31 Aug

Curzon Ashton

2 : 0

Ashton United

28 Aug

Ashton United

1 : 2

Gainsborough

25 Aug

Ashton United

1 : 1

Ilkeston

22 Aug

AFC Emley

1 : 1

Ashton United

Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Heaton Stannington 1

Knaresborough Town 0

Bamber Bridge 1

Trafford 3

AFC Emley 3

Bishop Auckland 1

TBD -

Spennymoor -

Bury FC 8

Wythenshawe FC 0

Workington 3

Marske United 0

Vauxhall 0

Dunston 2

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Redcar Town 1

Blyth Spartans 0

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Buxton -

TBD -

Whitby 2

Ashton United 5

Marine -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

Lower Breck 5

Thornaby 1

TBD -

Chester -

Northwich Victoria 2

Atherton Collieries 3

Prescot Cables 2

Horbury Town 0

Redcar Athletic 1

Stocksbridge 0

TBD -

Macclesfield -

Warrington Rylands 3

Hyde 1

TBD -

Chorley -

Hebburn Town -

TBD -

Stockton 3

Guiseley 4

Shildon 2

Warrington Town 6

South Liverpool 4

Prestwich Heys 3

South Shields -

TBD -

Avro 0

Witton Albion 2

Morecambe -

TBD -

Southport -

Garforth 1

United of Manchester 5

Ossett United 1

Pontefract Collieries 0

Curzon Ashton 1

Bradford PA 2

Lancaster 3

Tadcaster Albion 1

Bromsgrove 2

Nuneaton 0

Sporting Khalsa 0

Leek Town 5

North Ferriby FC 0

Barton Town 2

Bourne 2

Boldmere St Michaels 3

Leamington 3

Ilkeston 1

Sherwood Colliery 2

Gainsborough 4

Alvechurch 2

Wolverhampton City 0

Lye Town 1

Racing Club Warwick 5

Harborough -

TBD -

Stourbridge 1

Rushall 3

Telford -

TBD -

Worksop -

Wellingborough 3

Kettering 4

Quorn 2

Shepshed 1

Halesowen 3

Basford Utd. 1

Stamford 0

Mickleover 1

Hednesford -

TBD -

Coventry United 2

Bedworth United 1

Spalding United -

TBD -

Hanley Town 2

Abbey Hulton 1

Knowle 1

Worcester 2

Alfreton 0

Stratford 2

Stafford 3

Northampton on Chenecks 0

TBD -

Hereford -

Northampton Sileby 0

Anstey Nomads 4

Cleethorpes 1

Newcastle Town 2

Malvern Town 1

Redditch 5

Belper Town 0

Evesham 3

FC Witham Town 3

Stotfold 2

St. Albans 2

Hashtag 0

Leighton Town 1

Gorleston 4

London Lions 2

Bury Town 4

Chesham -

TBD -

Ware 6

Fakenham 4

Stortford 2

Berkhamsted Town 3

Hendon 7

Hullbridge 3

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley 2

Felixstowe & Walton 0

Biggleswade Town 1

Hitchin 4

Grays 0

Leiston 5

Desborough Town 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Peterborough Sports 4

Ipswich Wanderers 0

Bedford -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Aveley 4

Cheshunt 2

Concord Rangers 2

Brentwood 4

Stanway Rovers 1

Needham Market 3

TBD -

Braintree -

Cambridge City 6

Maldon & Tiptree 1

Yaxley 1

Buckhurst Hill 4

Billericay -

TBD -

Frenford 0

Enfield Town 4

Harleston Town 3

Romford 1

Real Bedford 4

Royston Town 1

Dunstable 1

Woodford Town 3

Mulbarton Wanderers 3

Cornard United 0

Canvey Island 2

Newmarket 1

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Brantham 0

Waltham Abbey 7

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Three Bridges 0

Kingstonian 1

Leatherhead 3

Croydon Athletic 0

Westfield 1

Dartford 3

Hayes & Yeading 2

Camberley Town 1

Chertsey Town 3

Carshalton 2

Sittingbourne 3

A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4

Lewes 2

Cray Wanderers 3

TBD -

Maidstone -

Slough Town -

TBD -

Egham Town 0

Chatham 4

Dulwich Hamlet 4

East Grinstead Town 0

Faversham 2

Welling 3

Southall FC 2

Cobham 1

TBD -

Dorking Wanderers -

Whitehawk 2

Eastbourne Borough 4

Holmesdale 1

Windsor & Eton 5

Margate 1

Snodland 3

Redhill 1

Sheppey United 2

Walton & Hersham -

TBD -

Horsham FC -

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Ramsgate 1

Bracknell Town 0

Flackwell Heath 0

Hanwell Town 1

Burgess Hill 0

Jersey Bulls 0

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Crowborough 4

Whyteleafe 3

Uxbridge 3

Haywards Heath 0

TBD -

Farnborough -

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Broadfields United 1

Chichester City 4

SE Dons 2

Erith Town 0

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Folkestone -

Ascot United 1

Pagham 3

Hanworth Villa 4

Whitstable Town 1

AFC Totton -

TBD -

Gloucester City 5

Mangotsfield 1

Torquay -

TBD -

Basingstoke 0

AFC Stoneham 1

Weston-super-Mare -

TBD -

Wimborne 3

Portishead Town 1

Brixham 2

Dorchester 3

TBD -

Oxford City -

Fleetlands 0

Cirencester 3

TBD -

Farnham -

Winslow United 1

Swindon Supermarine 3

Bath City 0

Weymouth 2

Baffins Milton Rovers 1

Slimbridge 4

Wells City 0

Hungerford 4

Brackley -

TBD -

Portchester 2

Portland United 1

St. Blazey 1

Tiverton 2

Sholing 2

Andover New Street 0

Bishops Cleeve 2

Poole Town 1

Tadley Calleva 3

Laverstock & Ford 1

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

Truro -

Falmouth Town 2

Frome Town 4

Gosport Borough 1

Plymouth Parkway 3

Thame United 3

Reading City 2

Banbury 1

Exmouth Town 2

Yate 3

Devizes Town 0

Chippenham Town 4

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Salisbury -

TBD -

Taunton Town 4

Millbrook 0

TBD -

Quarter-finals

Heaton Stannington -

Trafford -

AFC Emley -

Spennymoor -

Bury FC -

Workington -

Dunston -

Scarborough Athletic -

Redcar Town -

Darlington FC -

Buxton -

Ashton United -

Marine -

Radcliffe -

Lower Breck -

Chester -

Atherton Collieries -

Prescot Cables -

Redcar Athletic -

Macclesfield -

Warrington Rylands -

Chorley -

Hebburn Town -

Guiseley -

Warrington Town -

South Liverpool -

South Shields -

Witton Albion -

Morecambe -

Southport -

United of Manchester -

Ossett United -

Bradford PA -

Lancaster -

Bromsgrove -

Leek Town -

Barton Town -

Boldmere St Michaels -

Leamington -

Gainsborough -

Alvechurch -

Racing Club Warwick -

Harborough -

Rushall -

Telford -

Worksop -

Kettering -

Quorn -

Halesowen -

Mickleover -

Hednesford -

Coventry United -

Spalding United -

Hanley Town -

Worcester -

Stratford -

Stafford -

Hereford -

Anstey Nomads -

Newcastle Town -

Redditch -

Evesham -

FC Witham Town -

St. Albans -

Gorleston -

Bury Town -

Chesham -

Ware -

Berkhamsted Town -

Hendon -

Hemel Hempstead -

Wingate & Finchley -

Hitchin -

Leiston -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

Peterborough Sports -

Bedford -

King’s Lynn -

Aveley -

Brentwood -

Needham Market -

Braintree -

Cambridge City -

Buckhurst Hill -

Billericay -

Enfield Town -

Harleston Town -

Real Bedford -

Woodford Town -

Mulbarton Wanderers -

Canvey Island -

Chelmsford -

Waltham Abbey -

Dagenham & Red. -

Kingstonian -

Leatherhead -

Dartford -

Hayes & Yeading -

Chertsey Town -

A.F.C. Greenwich Borough -

Cray Wanderers -

Maidstone -

Slough Town -

Chatham -

Dulwich Hamlet -

Welling -

Southall FC -

Dorking Wanderers -

Eastbourne Borough -

Windsor & Eton -

Snodland -

Sheppey United -

Walton & Hersham -

Horsham FC -

Tonbridge -

Ramsgate -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

Crowborough -

Uxbridge -

Farnborough -

Maidenhead -

Ebbsfleet -

Chichester City -

SE Dons -

Dover Ath. -

Folkestone -

Pagham -

Hanworth Villa -

AFC Totton -

Gloucester City -

Torquay -

AFC Stoneham -

Weston-super-Mare -

Wimborne -

Dorchester -

Oxford City -

Cirencester -

Farnham -

Swindon Supermarine -

Weymouth -

Slimbridge -

Hungerford -

Brackley -

Portchester -

Tiverton -

Sholing -

Bishops Cleeve -

Tadley Calleva -

Merthyr Town -

Truro -

Frome Town -

Plymouth Parkway -

Thame United -

Exmouth Town -

Yate -

Chippenham Town -

Salisbury -

Taunton Town -

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Buxton vs Ashton United

England

Buxton

Ashton United

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Buxton

Ashton United

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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