Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BW Linz vs Grazer AK

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Hofmann Personal Stadion, Linz
BW Linz Logo

BW Linz

0 - 3
FT
Grazer AK Logo

Grazer AK

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Kreuzriegler M.
6' Event
Lichtenberger C.
Assist: Klassen L.
21'
Sub
Schriebl T. In: Koch T.
Out: Schriebl T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grazer AK in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grazer AK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
BW Linz
20%
Draws
38%
Grazer AK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BW Linz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BW Linz lately — more wins on the board than Grazer AK.
  • Win probability leans BW Linz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Grazer AK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
BW Linz Clean Sheet 68%
Grazer AK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BW Linz Grazer AK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.04 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Bundesliga
BW Linz vs Grazer AK
0:3
Apr 4, 2026 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs BW Linz
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs BW Linz
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Bundesliga
BW Linz vs Grazer AK
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 Bundesliga
BW Linz vs Grazer AK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BW Linz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Grazer AK Compare

Top Goalscorer Lichtenberger C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hofleitner A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BW Linz 95 / 100
Grazer AK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BW Linz Grazer AK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BW Linz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BW Linz found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Grazer AK conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

BW Linz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BW Linz VS Grazer AK
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BW Linz

(Home)
18 Sept
BW Linz
3 : 0
Admira
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
05 Sept
BW Linz
2 : 3
Wacker Innsbruck
28 Aug
Kapfenberg
2 : 1
BW Linz
23 Aug
BW Linz
5 : 1
ASK Voitsberg
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Grazer AK

(Away)
19 Sept
Grazer AK
2 : 2
Austria Vienna
12 Sept
Altach
1 : 2
Grazer AK
06 Sept
Kitzbuhel
0 : 2
Grazer AK
29 Aug
Grazer AK
0 : 0
Wolfsberger AC
21 Aug
Ried
1 : 0
Grazer AK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Ried 32 12 6 14 38:42 28
8 Wolfsberger AC 32 11 8 13 41:42 28
9 Grazer AK 32 9 10 13 42:45 27
10 Altach 32 10 12 10 36:39 27
11 Tirol 32 10 10 12 40:52 24
12 BW Linz 32 8 5 19 37:49 21
Relegation - 2. Liga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)