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Byasen vs Surnadal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Nordli J.
83' Event
Kvande S. H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Byasen
30%
Draws
23%
Surnadal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Byasen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Byasen lately — more wins on the board than Surnadal.
  • Model gives Byasen a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.6%
Byasen Clean Sheet 68%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Byasen Surnadal
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.97 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.87 3.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Byasen vs Surnadal
1:1
May 3, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Byasen
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Byasen vs Surnadal
1:1
Jun 15, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Surnadal vs Byasen
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Byasen Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordli J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Surnadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvande S. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Byasen 95 / 100
Surnadal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Byasen Surnadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Byasen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Surnadal let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Byasen's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Byasen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Byasen VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Byasen

(Home)
19 Sept
Byasen
6 : 1
Herd
13 Sept
Ranheim 2
1 : 4
Byasen
05 Sept
Byasen
1 : 2
Strindheim
31 Aug
Rosenborg 2
1 : 2
Byasen
15 Aug
Byasen
0 : 0
Volda
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Surnadal

(Away)
26 Oct
Surnadal
1 : 3
Spjelkavik
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
04 Oct
Melhus
1 : 1
Surnadal
27 Sept
Surnadal
4 : 1
Nardo
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