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Byasen vs Surnadal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Nordli J.
83' Event
Kvande S. H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Byasen
44%
Draws
20%
Surnadal
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Byasen lately — more wins on the board than Surnadal.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Byasen Clean Sheet 15%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Byasen Surnadal
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Byasen vs Surnadal
1:1
May 3, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Byasen
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Byasen vs Surnadal
1:1
Jun 15, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Surnadal vs Byasen
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Byasen Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordli J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Surnadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvande S. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Byasen 35 / 100
Surnadal 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Byasen Surnadal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Surnadal let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Byasen's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Byasen has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Byasen VS Surnadal
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%