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C-Osaka W vs Omiya Ardija W

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Norimatsu R.
31' Event
Yoneda H.
33' Event
Takahashi M.

AI Match Summary

Omiya Ardija W in this WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
C-Osaka W
33%
Draws
27%
Omiya Ardija W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: C-Osaka W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Omiya Ardija W haven't matched C-Osaka W's recent run of results.
  • C-Osaka W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • C-Osaka W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Omiya Ardija W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
C-Osaka W Clean Sheet 20%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric C-Osaka W Omiya Ardija W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Omiya Ardija W vs C-Osaka W
1:3
Apr 12, 2026 WE League Cup Women
C-Osaka W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:5
Feb 15, 2026 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs C-Osaka W
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 WE League Women
C-Osaka W vs Omiya Ardija W
2:1
May 17, 2025 WE League Women
C-Osaka W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

C-Osaka W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoneda H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Omiya Ardija W Compare

Top Goalscorer Norimatsu R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Takahashi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

C-Osaka W 40 / 100
Omiya Ardija W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
C-Osaka W Omiya Ardija W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Omiya Ardija W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

C-Osaka W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Omiya Ardija W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

C-Osaka W VS Omiya Ardija W
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

C-Osaka W

(Home)
16 May
C-Osaka W
1 : 1
AC Parceiro Nagano W
10 May
C-Osaka W
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
03 May
JEF United W
0 : 1
C-Osaka W
26 Apr
Nojima Stella W
3 : 0
C-Osaka W
19 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 3
C-Osaka W
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Omiya Ardija W

(Away)
25 Jul
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 4
Bayern Munich W
16 May
Omiya Ardija W
0 : 4
Nojima Stella W
10 May
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 1
JEF United W
02 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 0
Omiya Ardija W
29 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 3
Beleza W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
C-Osaka W4
Omiya Ardija W6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W4
Beleza W5
Final
Omiya Ardija W2
Beleza W3