Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Boulay vs Thionville

France France

Coupe de France 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Groune A.
(Penalty)
5' Event
Groune A.
63' Event
Moustaid J.

AI Match Summary

Thionville in this Coupe de France 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CA Boulay
35%
Draws
35%
Thionville
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Thionville lately — more wins on the board than CA Boulay.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Thionville arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Thionville, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CA Boulay Clean Sheet 19%
Thionville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Boulay Thionville
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 1 13
Draws 0 9
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.83
Goals Conceded 3.33 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 Coupe de France
CA Boulay vs Thionville
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Boulay Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Thionville Compare

Top Goalscorer Groune A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moustaid J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Boulay 32 / 100
Thionville 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Boulay Thionville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thionville Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Boulay scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

Defensive concern: Thionville conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

CA Boulay went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Thionville
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Boulay

(Home)
16 Nov
CA Boulay
0 : 3
Thionville
07 Dec
Raon L Etape
6 : 2
CA Boulay
17 Nov
CA Boulay
2 : 1
Meaux

Thionville

(Away)
19 Sept
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
29 Aug
Thionville
1 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
20 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Thionville
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Montagnarde 1
Tours 2
Cesson 3
TA Rennes 2
Fief-Geste 1
Monnaie 3
Ruffiac Malestroit 0
Lorient 2
Ales 4
Beaucairois 2
Cannes 2
Grau-du-Roi 0
Istres 4
Cannet Rocheville 0
Grenoble 2
Villefranche 1
Saint Lo Manche 1
SU Dives 2
AS Dragon 3
Avranches 2
Saint-Pierroise 1
Saint-Denis 4
Etoile Maritime 0
Vertou 3
Agde 2
Romorantin 1
Comtal 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Lempdes 0
Carnoux F.C. 1
Anduze 1
Hauts Lyonnais 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
FC PRJ 0
SA Merignac 6
Beaumont Saint-Cyr 1
Merignac 0
Vitre 0
Laval 1
Saumur Olympique 0
Concarneau 2
Saint-Pierre Milizac 1
Dinan 2
Serquigny-Nassandres 0
Guingamp 5
Maladrerie 1
Bolbec 2
Chartres 0
Caen 4
Guereins 0
Macon 4
Gueugnon 1
Sochaux 3
Angouleme CFC 2
Rodez 1
Feytiat 0
Clermont 3
FC Hettange Grande 3
Luneville 4
Sarre Union 0
Thaon 2
Calais Beau Marais 3
Paris 15 1
Fleury-Merogis 1
Amiens SC 2
Le Touquet 2
Porto Portugais 1
Les Ulis 1
RC Calais 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Saint-Philbert 3
Thouars 0
Bayonne 1
Pau 3
Liancourt Clermont 1
Bretigny Foot 0
Paris FC 1
Quevilly 2
Labourse 0
FC Bobigny 93 4
Haubourdin 1
Red Star 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
ASJR Football 0
Bourgoin Jallieu 4
Olympique de Valence 1
Arles-Avignon 0
Valence FC 1
Marignane GCB 0
Allobroges Asafia 0
Martigues 5
Raismes 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 5
Lucciana 2
OCPAM 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Mutzig 1
Illkirch 0
Jeunesse 1
Moulien 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Montferrand 0
Saint-Jean 4
Canet Roussillon 1
Versailles 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
ESB Marboz 0
Cluses Scionzier 1
F.C. Du Foron 1
Troyes 3
Raon L Etape 2
Biesheim 1
Obernai FCSR 0
Metz 3
Bressuire 0
Bordeaux 2
Les Herbiers 2
AC Ajaccio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Niort 0
Orleans 3
Cazaux 0
La Roche Vendee 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brest -
Saint-Omer 1
US Noyelles S/Lens 2
JA Drancy 2
U.S. Pays de Cassel 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Ginglin Cesson 2
Alencon 0
Rouen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
US Nousseviller 0
Colmar 3
Blenod 0
Haguenau 1
Houilles 0
Boulogne 3
Beauvais 1
Chantilly 0
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstaing Chereng 0
Aubervilliers 4
Bethune 0
Dunkerque 1
Paimpol 0
Stade Briochin 3
COBSP 1
Saint-Malo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Le Havre -
Rumilly Vallieres 1
Jura Dolois 0
Football Club de Chaumont 2
GOAL FC 3
Valdahon Vercel 0
Jura Sud 4
Vesoul 1
Annecy 6
Epinal 2
Nancy 4
Freyming 0
Bastia 4
Fontenay 1
ESOF La Roche 2
Samaritaine 1
RC Saint Joseph 2
USC Corte 2
Linas-Montlhery 1
Crepy-en-Valois 0
Diables Noirs 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Avenir Mourenxois 0
Football Club Marmande 47 3
Colomiers 2
Vierzon Foot 3
Vannes 1
Le Mans 2
St. Colomban Locmine 4
Sable 2
Mana 0
Etoile Matoury 3
CA Boulay 0
Thionville 3
Roubaix 4
Neuilly Marne 5
Arras 0
Valenciennes 2
Couzeix-Chaptelat 1
Sauveteurs Brivois 0
Espaly 1
Biars-Bretenoux 0
Chambery 2
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
Grandvillars 2
Dijon 4
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/64-finals
Tours 3
Cesson 0
Monnaie 0
Lorient 5
Ales 1
Cannes 5
Istres 0
Grenoble 4
SU Dives 6
AS Dragon 1
Saint-Denis 1
Vertou 0
Agde 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 5
TBD -
Montpellier -
Carnoux F.C. 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
SA Merignac 2
Beaumont Saint-Cyr 1
Laval 3
Concarneau 2
Dinan 1
Guingamp 4
Bolbec 0
Caen 6
Macon 0
Sochaux 2
Angouleme CFC 1
Clermont 2
Luneville 0
Thaon 4
Calais Beau Marais 0
Amiens SC 3
Le Touquet 0
RC Calais 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Saint-Philbert 2
Pau 1
Liancourt Clermont 0
Quevilly 1
FC Bobigny 93 3
Red Star 2
TBD -
Angers -
Bourgoin Jallieu 3
Olympique de Valence 0
Valence FC 0
Martigues 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Lucciana 0
TBD -
Lyon -
Mutzig 4
Jeunesse 1
TBD -
Reims -
Saint-Jean 2
Versailles 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Cluses Scionzier 0
Troyes 1
Raon L Etape 0
Metz 1
Bordeaux 2
Les Herbiers 0
TBD -
Rennes -
Orleans 1
La Roche Vendee 2
TBD -
Brest -
US Noyelles S/Lens 0
JA Drancy 3
TBD -
Nantes -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Ginglin Cesson 0
Rouen 3
TBD -
Lille -
Colmar 1
Haguenau 2
Boulogne 4
Beauvais 2
Auxerre -
TBD -
Aubervilliers 0
Dunkerque 2
Stade Briochin 1
Saint-Malo 0
TBD -
Le Havre -
Rumilly Vallieres 1
GOAL FC 2
Jura Sud 0
Annecy 1
Nancy 0
Bastia 2
ESOF La Roche 1
RC Saint Joseph 3
USC Corte 2
Diables Noirs 0
TBD -
Nice -
Football Club Marmande 47 3
Vierzon Foot 0
Le Mans 4
St. Colomban Locmine 0
Etoile Matoury 0
Thionville 2
Neuilly Marne 3
Valenciennes 4
Couzeix-Chaptelat 0
Espaly 3
Chambery 0
Dijon 2
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/32-finals
Tours 0
Lorient 3
Cannes 3
Grenoble 2
SU Dives 2
Saint-Denis 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 4
Montpellier 0
Hauts Lyonnais 0
Toulouse 1
SA Merignac 0
Laval 1
Guingamp 2
Caen 1
Sochaux 1
Clermont 0
Thaon 2
Amiens SC 1
RC Calais 0
Strasbourg 3
Saint-Philbert 0
Quevilly 2
FC Bobigny 93 0
Angers 1
Bourgoin Jallieu 4
Martigues 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Lyon 2
Mutzig 1
Reims 3
Saint-Jean 1
Monaco 4
Troyes 3
Metz 0
Bordeaux 1
Rennes 4
La Roche Vendee 0
Brest 1
JA Drancy 0
Nantes 4
St Etienne 0
Marseille 4
Rouen 0
Lille 1
Haguenau 4
Boulogne 1
Auxerre 0
Dunkerque 1
Stade Briochin 1
Le Havre 0
GOAL FC 1
Annecy 2
Bastia 5
RC Saint Joseph 0
USC Corte 1
Nice 2
Football Club Marmande 47 0
Le Mans 7
Thionville 2
Valenciennes 3
Espaly 2
Dijon 1
Lens 1
PSG 2
1/16-finals
Lorient 1
Cannes 2
SU Dives 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Toulouse 2
Laval 1
Guingamp 3
Sochaux 2
Thaon 2
Strasbourg 3
Quevilly 2
Angers 3
Bourgoin Jallieu 3
Lyon 2
Reims 2
Monaco 1
Troyes 1
Rennes 0
Brest 2
Nantes 1
Marseille 1
Lille 2
Haguenau 1
Dunkerque 3
Stade Briochin 2
Annecy 1
Bastia 0
Nice 1
Le Mans 2
Valenciennes 1
Espaly 2
PSG 4
1/8-finals
Cannes 5
SU Dives 3
Toulouse 0
Guingamp 2
Strasbourg 1
Angers 3
Bourgoin Jallieu 0
Reims 1
Troyes 1
Brest 2
Lille 1
Dunkerque 2
Stade Briochin 2
Nice 1
Le Mans 0
PSG 2
Quarter-finals
Cannes 3
Guingamp 1
Angers 1
Reims 2
Brest 2
Dunkerque 3
Stade Briochin 0
PSG 7
Semi-finals
Cannes 1
Reims 2
Dunkerque 2
PSG 4
Final
Reims 0
PSG 3