Sport Picks
CA Cerro vs Racing Montevideo
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo 
AI Match Summary
CA Cerro host Racing Montevideo in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: CA Cerro at 0.5 goals for, 2 against; Racing Montevideo at 0.63 for, 0.63 against. Head-to-head, CA Cerro have won 1 to Racing Montevideo's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.56 - 1.31) back Racing Montevideo to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Racing Montevideo lately — more wins on the board than CA Cerro.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Cerro | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Racing Montevideo has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
CA Cerro's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: CA Cerro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
CA Cerro
(Home)Racing Montevideo
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Central Esp. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Boston River | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 7 | Liverpool M. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Albion | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Juventud | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 7 | Danubio | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 8 | Progreso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |