Sport Picks
CA Cerro vs Racing Montevideo
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo 
Match Events
4'
4'
Arena N.
46'
46'
Sub
Dudok R. In: Oyarzo Y.
Out: Dudok R.
60'
60'
Sub
Bosca J. In: Varela J.
Out: Bosca J.
AI Match Summary
CA Cerro in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Cerro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Cerro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Racing Montevideo lately — more wins on the board than CA Cerro.
- CA Cerro are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CA Cerro Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Cerro | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Racing Montevideo
1:0
Jul 26, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Racing Montevideo
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs CA Cerro
1:0
Jan 15, 2026 Copa de la Liga AUF
Racing Montevideo vs CA Cerro
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Racing Montevideo
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CA Cerro Compare
Top Goalscorer Arena N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Racing Montevideo Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Cerro 68 / 100
Racing Montevideo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Cerro Racing Montevideo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CA Cerro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: CA Cerro scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: CA Cerro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Racing Montevideo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
CA Cerro VS Racing Montevideo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Cerro
(Home) 19 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2 Penarol
13 Sept
Progreso
1 : 3 CA Cerro
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2 Cerrito
06 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 0 Racing Montevideo
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 CA Cerro
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2 Penarol
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2 Cerrito
06 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 0 Racing Montevideo
15 Aug
CA Cerro
2 : 1 Albion
26 Jul
CA Cerro
1 : 0 Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 3
Racing Montevideo
(Away) 20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0 Racing Montevideo
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2 Boston River
09 Sept
Racing Montevideo
2 : 4 Central Esp.
06 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 0 Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0 Racing Montevideo
06 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 0 Racing Montevideo
03 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 2 Racing Montevideo
23 Aug
Danubio
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
