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C.A. Chocorosi vs Rio San Juan

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Sat, Sep 27, 2025
0 - 3
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Simon Bolivar. This has Rio San Juan written all over it on paper. C.A. Chocorosi have averaged 0.5 scored and 4 conceded recently, against Rio San Juan's 1.5 scored and 2.38 conceded. Head-to-head, C.A. Chocorosi have won 0 to Rio San Juan's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2025, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.75, favoring Rio San Juan. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
C.A. Chocorosi
6%
Draws
90%
Rio San Juan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rio San Juan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • C.A. Chocorosi haven't matched Rio San Juan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rio San Juan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Rio San Juan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio San Juan, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
C.A. Chocorosi Clean Sheet 10%
Rio San Juan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric C.A. Chocorosi Rio San Juan
Matches Played 6 16
Wins 0 5
Draws 0 6
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 4 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
C.A. Chocorosi vs Rio San Juan
0:3
Aug 24, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Rio San Juan vs C.A. Chocorosi
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

C.A. Chocorosi 10 / 100
Rio San Juan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
C.A. Chocorosi Rio San Juan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Rio San Juan let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.

C.A. Chocorosi found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (6 games).

Rio San Juan's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

C.A. Chocorosi VS Rio San Juan
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
4 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

C.A. Chocorosi

(Home)
27 Sept
C.A. Chocorosi
0 : 3
Rio San Juan
20 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
3 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
06 Sept
C.A. Chocorosi
0 : 3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
30 Aug
C.A. Chocorosi
1 : 4
Fancesa
Page 1 of 2

Rio San Juan

(Away)
09 Nov
Rio San Juan
0 : 0
Real Potosi
02 Nov
Real Potosi
2 : 0
Rio San Juan
26 Oct
Rio San Juan
1 : 1
Pucarani
11 Oct
Pucarani
0 : 1
Rio San Juan
27 Sept
C.A. Chocorosi
0 : 3
Rio San Juan
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams