Sport Picks
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 2018 
AI Match Summary
CA Metropolitano in this Copa Santa Catarina 2018 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Metropolitano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to CA Metropolitano lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense-SC.
- Model gives CA Metropolitano a 48% chance of winning this.
- CA Metropolitano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor CA Metropolitano, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- CA Metropolitano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Metropolitano | Fluminense-SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
3:0
Jun 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:3
Jul 6, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 10, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 6, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Metropolitano 67 / 100
Fluminense-SC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Metropolitano Fluminense-SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CA Metropolitano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fluminense-SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
CA Metropolitano's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: CA Metropolitano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CA Metropolitano VS Fluminense-SC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Metropolitano
(Home) 19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1 CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5 Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2 CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0 Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2 CA Metropolitano
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5 Marcilio Dias
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0 Fluminense-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1 Jaragua-SC
05 Jul
CA Metropolitano
2 : 1 Caravaggio
14 Jun
CA Metropolitano
3 : 1 Guarani de Palhoca
Page 1 of 3
Fluminense-SC
(Away) 25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0 Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1 Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0 Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1 Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2 Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0 Fluminense-SC
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0 Fluminense-SC
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2 Fluminense-SC
28 Jun
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2 Fluminense-SC
14 Jun
Caravaggio
1 : 0 Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Joinville | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Fluminense-SC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 5 | CA Metropolitano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Blumenau | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Tubarao | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13:4 | 20 |
| 3 | Marcilio Dias | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Almirante Barroso | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Inter de Lages | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 6 | Operario Mafra | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:41 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)
