Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

CA Metropolitano

0 - 1

Tubarao

Our Tip

Match Events

84'

Cesar Leite M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tubarao in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tubarao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

CA Metropolitano

Draws

Tubarao

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

CA Metropolitano have won more games recently than Tubarao.
90% — that's where the model lands on CA Metropolitano taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 68%

Tubarao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CA Metropolitano	Tubarao
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	14	11
Draws	8	9
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	2.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Catarinense 2

Tubarao vs CA Metropolitano

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 1 - 4

2:3

May 17, 2026 Catarinense 2

CA Metropolitano vs Tubarao

Possession: 40% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Aug 3, 2025 Catarinense 2

CA Metropolitano vs Tubarao

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Jul 31, 2025 Catarinense 2

Tubarao vs CA Metropolitano

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Jun 8, 2025 Catarinense 2

Tubarao vs CA Metropolitano

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Metropolitano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Tubarao Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesar Leite M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 95 / 100

Tubarao 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CA Metropolitano Tubarao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Metropolitano's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

CA Metropolitano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Tubarao has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Tubarao

2.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	16	12	2	2	33:9	38
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31:18	32
3	Caravaggio	16	9	4	3	44:19	31
4	Blumenau	16	8	4	4	32:13	28
5	Tubarao	16	6	5	5	22:17	23
6	Fluminense-SC	16	5	3	8	14:21	18
7	Nacao	16	4	6	6	16:24	18
8	Gremio Juventus	16	5	2	9	16:21	17
9	Guarani de Palhoca	16	4	5	7	15:24	17
10	Jaragua-SC	16	0	1	15	6:63	1