Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Mitre vs Ferro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Kabalin M.
49'
Lopez A.
53'
Sub
Lopez A. In: Maldonado M.
Out: Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

Ferro in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
CA Mitre
20%
Draws
42%
Ferro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferro have won more games recently than CA Mitre.
  • Model gives CA Mitre a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ferro have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 68%
Ferro Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Mitre Ferro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Ferro
0:1
Sep 4, 2023 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs CA Mitre
3:0
Apr 23, 2023 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Ferro
0:2
Mar 19, 2022 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Ferro
1:1
Mar 1, 2020 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Ferro
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Mitre 50 / 100
Ferro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Mitre Ferro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Mitre found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

CA Mitre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ferro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

CA Mitre VS Ferro
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Mitre

(Home)
02 Aug
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 2
CA Mitre
26 Jul
CA Mitre
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
17 Jul
CA Mitre
1 : 0
Racing Cordoba
11 Jul
CA Estudiantes
3 : 0
CA Mitre
05 Jul
CA Mitre
1 : 1
All Boys
Page 1 of 6

Ferro

(Away)
01 Aug
Ferro
1 : 3
Godoy Cruz
26 Jul
Deportivo Moron
4 : 0
Ferro
17 Jul
Ferro
2 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
11 Jul
San Miguel
0 : 1
Ferro
05 Jul
Ferro
2 : 1
San Telmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 23 13 4 6 26:21 43
2 Deportivo Moron 22 11 5 6 33:21 38
3 Colon Santa Fe 23 9 9 5 28:19 36
4 Almirante Brown 23 9 8 6 17:13 35
5 Godoy Cruz 22 9 7 6 25:19 34
6 Ciudad Bolivar 23 8 10 5 21:19 34
7 Los Andes 22 8 9 5 19:9 33
8 Deportivo Madryn 22 8 9 5 29:22 33
9 CA Estudiantes 23 8 8 7 20:19 32
10 Racing Cordoba 23 7 6 10 22:28 27
11 San Miguel 22 5 11 6 17:22 26
12 Defensores de Belgrano 22 5 10 7 15:19 25
13 CA Mitre 23 5 10 8 22:27 25
14 San Telmo 22 5 8 9 18:23 23
15 All Boys 23 4 11 8 13:22 23
16 Chaco For Ever 22 5 7 10 20:26 22
17 Central Norte 22 5 7 10 14:23 22
18 Acassuso 22 5 6 11 16:24 21
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy 23 12 5 6 35:27 41
2 Tristan Suarez 22 10 9 3 21:12 39
3 Temperley 23 9 10 4 24:20 37
4 Atletico Atlanta 22 11 3 8 28:22 36
5 Midland 22 9 7 6 23:16 34
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 23 9 7 7 24:22 34
7 Deportivo Maipu 23 9 5 9 31:24 32
8 Atl. Rafaela 23 8 7 8 17:19 31
9 San Martin T. 23 7 9 7 21:19 30
10 Colegiales 22 8 5 9 21:21 29
11 Nueva Chicago 22 7 8 7 20:20 29
12 Almagro 23 8 5 10 20:26 29
13 Quilmes 23 7 7 9 23:20 28
14 San Martin S.J. 21 7 6 8 22:22 27
15 Chacarita Juniors 22 7 5 10 18:23 26
16 Patronato 22 4 11 7 16:21 23
17 Agropecuario 23 5 8 10 18:28 23
18 Club Atletico Guemes 22 5 4 13 20:39 19
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)