Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Pulpileno vs Moratalla

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CA Pulpileno
30%
Draws
23%
Moratalla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CA Pulpileno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Pulpileno have won more games recently than Moratalla.
  • CA Pulpileno are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 20%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Pulpileno Moratalla
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 0.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Moratalla
1:1
Oct 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs CA Pulpileno
3:3
Apr 9, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Moratalla
0:2
Nov 30, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs CA Pulpileno
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Pulpileno 85 / 100
Moratalla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Pulpileno Moratalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Pulpileno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Moratalla conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: CA Pulpileno scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

CA Pulpileno has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Pulpileno VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Pulpileno

(Home)
20 Sept
CA Pulpileno
0 : 0
Bullas Deportivo
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1
Mazarron FC
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
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Moratalla

(Away)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)