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Stadium Background

Cabecense vs Conil

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Leon M.
64' Event
Mejias F.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Ruiz J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 game between Cabecense and Conil finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Conil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Cabecense
15%
Draws
59%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Conil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Conil are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 19%
Conil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabecense Conil
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.7 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Conil
1:4
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Cabecense
3:0
Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Cabecense
1:1
Dec 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Conil
1:2
Jan 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Cabecense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabecense Compare

Top Goalscorer Leon M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Conil Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mejias F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabecense 12 / 100
Conil 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabecense Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Cabecense scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Cabecense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Conil
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabecense

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
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Conil

(Away)
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Conil
3 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
26 Apr
Pozoblanco
0 : 1
Conil
19 Apr
Conil
1 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)