Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cabense vs Serrano PE

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3 2023
Cabense Logo

Cabense

4 - 0
FT
Serrano PE Logo

Serrano PE

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 2023 game between Cabense and Serrano PE finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cabense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cabense
30%
Draws
31%
Serrano PE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cabense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Very High Confidence
  • Cabense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Cabense taking it.
  • Regular Pernambucano 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cabense Clean Sheet 20%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabense Serrano PE
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 2 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 Pernambucano 3
Cabense vs Serrano PE
4:0
Mar 22, 2009 Pernambucano
Cabense vs Serrano PE
0:0
Jan 25, 2009 Pernambucano
Serrano PE vs Cabense
1:0
Apr 1, 2007 Pernambucano
Serrano PE vs Cabense
2:1
Feb 4, 2007 Pernambucano
Cabense vs Serrano PE
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabense 58 / 100
Serrano PE 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabense Serrano PE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cabense scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Serrano PE let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Cabense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabense VS Serrano PE
2 Goals Scored 0.6
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabense

(Home)
15 Sept
Decisao
3 : 1
Cabense
07 Sept
Cabense
1 : 1
Decisao
31 Aug
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Cabense
24 Aug
Jaguar
3 : 2
Cabense
17 Aug
Cabense
1 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
Page 1 of 7

Serrano PE

(Away)
25 Nov
Serrano PE
1 : 2
Aguia FC
18 Nov
Cabense
4 : 0
Serrano PE
05 Nov
Serrano PE
0 : 2
Ypiranga
28 Oct
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Serrano PE
22 Oct
Serrano PE
1 : 1
Barreiros FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Ipojuca 6 4 1 1 13:2 13
3 Cabense 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
4 Santa Fe PE 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
5 Barreiros FC 6 1 2 3 4:13 5
6 Serrano PE 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
7 Aguia FC 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)