Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Cabeza del Buey

2 - 0

Pueblonuevo

Our Tip

Match Events

Mina P.

40'

Malango J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Cabeza del Buey and Pueblonuevo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cabeza del Buey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Cabeza del Buey

28%

Draws

22%

Pueblonuevo

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cabeza del Buey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Cabeza del Buey carry the better recent record into this one.
Cabeza del Buey are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Cabeza del Buey Clean Sheet 68%

Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cabeza del Buey	Pueblonuevo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	9
Draws	9	6
Losses	6	15
Goals Scored	1.63	1
Goals Conceded	1.25	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Cabeza del Buey vs Pueblonuevo

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Pueblonuevo vs Cabeza del Buey

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabeza del Buey Compare

Top Goalscorer Mina P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Malango J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Pueblonuevo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabeza del Buey 59 / 100

Pueblonuevo 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cabeza del Buey Pueblonuevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabeza del Buey's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pueblonuevo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Cabeza del Buey remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cabeza del Buey VS Pueblonuevo

1.63 Goals Scored 1

1.25 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Don Benito	34	21	8	5	70:22	71
2	CD Badajoz	34	23	5	6	64:27	71
3	Moralo	34	17	11	6	54:32	62
4	CD Azuaga	34	18	8	8	53:31	62
5	Jaraiz	34	16	11	7	53:33	59
6	Cabeza del Buey	34	15	12	7	45:29	57
7	SP Villafranca	34	16	7	11	45:40	55
8	Villanovense	34	15	8	11	45:36	53
9	Montijo	34	13	7	14	43:42	46
10	Jerez CF	34	8	17	9	56:51	41
11	AD Llerenense	34	11	8	15	35:44	41
12	Puebla de la Calzada	34	9	11	14	35:48	38
13	Santa Amalia	34	9	7	18	30:52	34
14	Gevora	34	8	9	17	32:53	33
15	Pueblonuevo	34	9	6	19	29:55	33
16	CD Diocesano	34	6	12	16	33:63	30
17	Montehermoso	34	5	8	21	24:66	23
18	CD Calamonte	34	3	13	18	25:47	22