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Cabofriense vs Goncalense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Aldair
57' Event
Elias
65'
Gomes

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 2025 game between Cabofriense and Goncalense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cabofriense
30%
Draws
47%
Goncalense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goncalense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goncalense come out ahead of Cabofriense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Goncalense a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 22%
Goncalense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabofriense Goncalense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.87 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2025 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Goncalense
1:1
Jul 6, 2024 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Goncalense
0:0
Jun 17, 2023 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Cabofriense
1:0
Jun 22, 2022 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Goncalense
1:2
Jun 20, 2021 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Cabofriense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabofriense Compare

Top Goalscorer Elias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Goncalense Compare

Top Goalscorer Aldair
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabofriense 24 / 100
Goncalense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabofriense Goncalense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goncalense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabofriense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Goncalense conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Goncalense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cabofriense VS Goncalense
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabofriense

(Home)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
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Goncalense

(Away)
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Bonsucesso
1 : 1
Goncalense
25 Oct
Serrano FC
2 : 1
Goncalense
18 Oct
Goncalense
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Goncalo 11 5 4 2 13:8 19
2 Bangu 11 4 4 3 11:8 16
3 CEAC/Araruama 11 4 4 3 8:9 16
4 Olaria 11 4 3 4 14:10 15
5 Resende 11 4 3 4 8:10 15
6 America RJ 11 3 5 3 7:7 14
7 Cabofriense 11 3 5 3 9:10 14
8 Perolas Negras 11 3 4 4 10:10 13
9 Americano 11 4 4 3 13:10 12
10 Audax RJ 11 3 3 5 11:15 12
11 Duque de Caxias 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
12 Goncalense 11 2 6 3 9:12 12
Promotion - Carioca 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 2025 (Main)