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Cacadores Taipas vs Trofense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cacadores Taipas play Trofense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019. Trofense are favorites here. Recently, Cacadores Taipas averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Trofense averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Cacadores Taipas won 0, Trofense won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 20, 2019 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Cacadores Taipas and 1.11 for Trofense. This points to a Trofense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Cacadores Taipas
26%
Draws
57%
Trofense
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Trofense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Cacadores Taipas picked up more points recently compared to Trofense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Cacadores Taipas Clean Sheet 21%
Trofense Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacadores Taipas Trofense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.67 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Cacadores Taipas vs Trofense
0:3
Dec 9, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Trofense vs Cacadores Taipas
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacadores Taipas 20 / 100
Trofense 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacadores Taipas Trofense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trofense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Trofense & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +88.9%
11.11
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cacadores Taipas attacking → ← attacking Trofense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cacadores Taipas scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Trofense let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Cacadores Taipas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Trofense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 39
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vizela32236373:1375
2AD Fafe32217459:2470
3Sao Martinho32209351:2069
4Trofense32207560:2467
5FC Felgueiras32204855:3364
6SC Mirandela321471149:4149
7Chaves B321381155:4147
8Merelinense3210121038:3842
9CDC Montalegre3210101237:5040
10Pedras Salgadas321161543:5239
11Maria de Fonte329101341:5037
12AD Oliveirense321071540:5537
13AD Limianos321071531:4537
14GD Uniao Torcatense32851929:6029
15Mirandes32562126:5321
16Cacadores Taipas32462227:6418
17Vilaverdense FC32432528:7915
18Gil Vicente00000:00