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Cacereno W vs SE AEM W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Lezcano L.
76' Event
Diaz Y.
90' Event
Suarez E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 game between Cacereno W and SE AEM W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cacereno W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cacereno W
15%
Draws
51%
SE AEM W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SE AEM W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cacereno W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on SE AEM W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cacereno W Clean Sheet 15%
SE AEM W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacereno W SE AEM W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.94 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs SE AEM W
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
SE AEM W vs Cacereno W
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
SE AEM W vs Cacereno W
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs SE AEM W
0:0
Jan 28, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs SE AEM W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cacereno W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lezcano L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SE AEM W Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacereno W 27 / 100
SE AEM W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacereno W SE AEM W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SE AEM W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cacereno W scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: SE AEM W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cacereno W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cacereno W VS SE AEM W
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacereno W

(Home)
27 Sept
Cacereno W
2 : 0
Real Union W
20 Sept
Levante W
3 : 0
Cacereno W
13 Sept
Real Sociedad B W
3 : 2
Cacereno W
15 Aug
Logrono W
3 : 0
Cacereno W
02 May
Cacereno W
1 : 0
Real Oviedo W
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SE AEM W

(Away)
16 Aug
CE Europa W
1 : 2
SE AEM W
02 May
Valencia W
4 : 2
SE AEM W
25 Apr
SE AEM W
1 : 0
CA Osasuna W
05 Apr
Tenerife B W
2 : 1
SE AEM W
29 Mar
SE AEM W
3 : 0
Albacete W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B W 26 18 4 4 67:26 58
2 Alaves W 26 17 5 4 44:15 56
3 Valencia W 26 12 10 4 35:18 46
4 Real Madrid B W 26 12 5 9 35:27 41
5 Tenerife B W 26 11 6 9 34:36 39
6 Villarreal W 26 10 8 8 35:31 38
7 CA Osasuna W 26 9 6 11 30:26 33
8 Albacete W 26 8 9 9 25:33 33
9 Cacereno W 26 8 7 11 22:33 31
10 Atl. Madrid B W 26 8 7 11 26:32 31
11 SE AEM W 26 8 6 12 26:36 30
12 CE Europa W 26 6 5 15 29:47 23
13 Betis W 26 5 8 13 24:48 23
14 Real Oviedo W 26 4 6 16 18:42 18
Promotion - Liga F Women (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)