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Cacerense W vs Santa Cruz MT W

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Matogrossense Women 2024
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AI Match Summary

Cacerense W in this Matogrossense Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cacerense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cacerense W
6%
Draws
90%
Santa Cruz MT W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Cruz MT W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz MT W haven't matched Cacerense W's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz MT W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Cacerense W Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Cruz MT W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacerense W Santa Cruz MT W
Matches Played 6 3
Wins 1 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 0.5 0.67
Goals Conceded 5.67 7.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.67 7.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2024 Matogrossense Women
Cacerense W vs Santa Cruz MT W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacerense W 10 / 100
Santa Cruz MT W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacerense W Santa Cruz MT W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz MT W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Away concern: Santa Cruz MT W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cacerense W found the back of the net in 17% of recent matches (6 games).

Scoring Trends

Cacerense W VS Santa Cruz MT W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.67
5.67 Goals Conceded 7.33
67% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacerense W

(Home)
14 Sept
Cacerense W
0 : 2
Mixto W
06 Sept
Operario VG W
1 : 0
Cacerense W
31 Aug
Cacerense W
0 : 0
Atletico MT W
11 Aug
Cacerense W
0 : 14
Acao W
04 Aug
Atletico MT W
15 : 0
Cacerense W
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Santa Cruz MT W

(Away)
11 Aug
Santa Cruz MT W
0 : 11
Atletico MT W
04 Aug
Santa Cruz MT W
0 : 8
Acao W
28 Jul
Cacerense W
3 : 2
Santa Cruz MT W

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Acao W330024:19
2Atletico MT W320127:26
3Cacerense W31023:313
4Santa Cruz MT W30032:220
Promotion - Matogrossense Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Várzea Grande EC W33004:09
2Mixto W32016:26
3Cuiaba W31022:33
4Juara W30030:70
Promotion - Matogrossense Women 2024 (Play Offs)