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Caceres vs Mixto

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024
Caceres Logo

Caceres

2 - 2
FT
Mixto Logo

Mixto

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Caceres
35%
Draws
24%
Mixto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caceres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mixto lately — more wins on the board than Caceres.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Mixto arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Caceres Clean Sheet 20%
Mixto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caceres Mixto
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 14
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Caceres vs Mixto
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caceres 32 / 100
Mixto 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caceres Mixto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Caceres found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (17 games).

Mixto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Caceres has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mixto
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caceres

(Home)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
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Mixto

(Away)
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 Operario VG 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Mixto 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
4 Academia 6 3 0 3 8:11 9
5 Caceres 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
6 Primavera AC 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
7 Cuiaba 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 (Play Offs)