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Caceres vs Nova Mutum EC

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024
Caceres Logo

Caceres

0 - 2
FT
Nova Mutum EC Logo

Nova Mutum EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Nova Mutum EC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Caceres
20%
Draws
51%
Nova Mutum EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nova Mutum EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nova Mutum EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Nova Mutum EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nova Mutum EC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Caceres Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Mutum EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caceres Nova Mutum EC
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Caceres vs Nova Mutum EC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caceres 32 / 100
Nova Mutum EC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caceres Nova Mutum EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caceres's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Nova Mutum EC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Caceres went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caceres VS Nova Mutum EC
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caceres

(Home)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
Page 1 of 4

Nova Mutum EC

(Away)
11 Feb
Operario VG
3 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
08 Feb
Nova Mutum EC
2 : 1
Mixto
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Nova Mutum EC
31 Jan
Cuiaba
2 : 1
Nova Mutum EC
28 Jan
Nova Mutum EC
3 : 2
Chapada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 Operario VG 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Mixto 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
4 Academia 6 3 0 3 8:11 9
5 Caceres 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
6 Primavera AC 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
7 Cuiaba 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 (Play Offs)