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Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Marthe L.
17' Event
Amara A.
36' Event
Marthe L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Caen and Paris 13 Atletico finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paris 13 Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Caen
30%
Draws
34%
Paris 13 Atletico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Caen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Caen's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Caen Clean Sheet 20%
Paris 13 Atletico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caen Paris 13 Atletico
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico
3:4
Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Caen
0:3
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico
0:0
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Portut K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Idrissi M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Paris 13 Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Marthe L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Amara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caen 36 / 100
Paris 13 Atletico 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caen Paris 13 Atletico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caen found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Paris 13 Atletico let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Caen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caen VS Paris 13 Atletico
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%