Sport Picks
Match Events
48'
48'
Ashford J.
90'
90'
Harrris C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2024/2025 game between Caerau Ely and Goytre Utd finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerau Ely
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Caerau Ely come out ahead of Goytre Utd on wins alone.
- Model gives Caerau Ely a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 20%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caerau Ely | Goytre Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 2.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2025 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Goytre Utd
1:1
Sep 27, 2024 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Caerau Ely
0:2
Aug 2, 2024 League Cup
Goytre Utd vs Caerau Ely
3:2
Apr 9, 2024 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Caerau Ely
6:2
Sep 8, 2023 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Goytre Utd
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caerau Ely Compare
Top Goalscorer Ashford J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Goytre Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caerau Ely 67 / 100
Goytre Utd 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caerau Ely Goytre Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caerau Ely Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Goytre Utd conceded in 93% of 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Caerau Ely scored in 79% of their last 34 games.
Recent resilience: Caerau Ely stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Caerau Ely VS Goytre Utd
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Caerau Ely
(Home) 11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0 Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1 Caerau Ely
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0 Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Treowen
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
25 Jul
Caerau Ely
4 : 4 Barnstaple Town
Page 1 of 4
Goytre Utd
(Away) 04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2 Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6 Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1 Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2 Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2 Goytre Utd
13 Jun
Afan United
0 : 1 Goytre Utd
04 Apr
Pontypridd United
3 : 0 Goytre Utd
21 Mar
Caerau Ely
1 : 1 Goytre Utd
21 Feb
Trefelin
3 : 2 Goytre Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanelli | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 64:25 | 64 |
| 2 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Newport City | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 50:32 | 54 |
| 4 | Trefelin | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 54:41 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 54:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Cambrian United | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 50:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 55:44 | 45 |
| 8 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 44:34 | 43 |
| 9 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 37:34 | 43 |
| 10 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 47:50 | 36 |
| 11 | Afan Lido | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 44:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 42:43 | 32 |
| 13 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:62 | 30 |
| 14 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 30:57 | 28 |
| 15 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 41:72 | 23 |
| 16 | Taffs Well | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 32:76 | 15 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Main)
