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Caerleon vs Tata Steel

Wales Wales

Division 1 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2012/2013 game between Caerleon and Tata Steel finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tata Steel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Caerleon
15%
Draws
49%
Tata Steel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tata Steel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tata Steel come out ahead of Caerleon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Caerleon a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 15%
Tata Steel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerleon Tata Steel
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 0.8 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2013 Division 1
Caerleon vs Tata Steel
1:2
Oct 20, 2012 Division 1
Tata Steel vs Caerleon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerleon 35 / 100
Tata Steel 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerleon Tata Steel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tata Steel conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Tata Steel registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Caerleon's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Caerleon VS Tata Steel
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.33 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerleon

(Home)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
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Tata Steel

(Away)
20 Sept
Pontyclun FC
4 : 1
Tata Steel
04 Oct
Tata Steel
1 : 2
Marshfield
10 May
Goytre AFC
0 : 0
Tata Steel
07 May
Tata Steel
2 : 4
AFC Porth
26 Apr
Tata Steel
2 : 1
Cwmbran Celtic
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