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Caete vs Santos PA

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 game between Caete and Santos PA finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Caete
30%
Draws
39%
Santos PA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos PA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Santos PA's 1 goals per match outpaces what Caete have produced (0.8).
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Caete taking it.
  • Regular Paraense A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Caete Clean Sheet 12%
Santos PA Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caete Santos PA
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 5 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Paraense A2
Santos PA vs Caete
3:1
May 2, 2026 Paraense A2
Caete vs Santos PA
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caete 38 / 100
Santos PA 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caete Santos PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caete Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Santos PA has conceded goals in 76% of their last 21 outings.

Caete's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Caete remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caete VS Santos PA
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caete

(Home)
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0
Santos PA
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Santos PA

(Away)
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
23 May
Canaa
0 : 0
Santos PA
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
09 May
Santos PA
2 : 2
Canaa
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)