Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cagliari vs Ospitaletto

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Luvumbo Z.
11' Event
Gobbi F.
33' Event
Deiola A.

AI Match Summary

Cagliari in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cagliari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cagliari
44%
Draws
20%
Ospitaletto
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ospitaletto at 1.5 per game, Cagliari at 0.75.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 15%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari Ospitaletto
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Cagliari vs Ospitaletto
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cagliari Compare

Top Goalscorer Luvumbo Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Deiola A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ospitaletto Compare

Top Goalscorer Gobbi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 35 / 100
Ospitaletto 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari Ospitaletto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OSP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Cagliari scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Ospitaletto let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Cagliari remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS Ospitaletto
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
24 May
AC Milan
1 : 2
Cagliari
17 May
Cagliari
2 : 1
Torino
09 May
Cagliari
0 : 2
Udinese
03 May
Bologna
0 : 0
Cagliari
Page 1 of 6

Ospitaletto

(Away)
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
25 Apr
Ospitaletto
0 : 2
Novara
19 Apr
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Ospitaletto
12 Apr
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
06 Apr
Virtus Verona
0 : 0
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6