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Cajamarca vs ADA Jaen

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rodriguez F.
21' Event
Camacho D.
30'
Duarte B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Cajamarca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cajamarca
6%
Draws
4%
ADA Jaen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cajamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cajamarca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cajamarca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cajamarca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cajamarca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 68%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cajamarca ADA Jaen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Cajamarca vs ADA Jaen
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cajamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Camacho D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

ADA Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cajamarca 95 / 100
ADA Jaen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cajamarca ADA Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Cajamarca remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Cajamarca found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

ADA Jaen has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cajamarca VS ADA Jaen
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cajamarca

(Home)
12 Jul
Cajamarca
4 : 1
ADA Jaen
26 Jun
Cajamarca
3 : 1
FC Cajamarca
15 Jun
Llacuabamba
2 : 2
Cajamarca
31 May
Los Chankas
2 : 2
Cajamarca
23 May
Cajamarca
0 : 0
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

ADA Jaen

(Away)
12 Jul
Cajamarca
4 : 1
ADA Jaen
20 Jun
Juan Pablo II
0 : 0
ADA Jaen
11 Jun
ADA Jaen
2 : 0
Comerciantes Unidos
31 May
Union Comercio
1 : 0
ADA Jaen
25 May
ADA Jaen
1 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Alianza Atl.3
Pirata2
Cajamarca4
ADA Jaen1
Atletico Grau2
Carlos Mannucci1
Sport Boys1
Comerciantes FC0
Sporting Cristal2
Tacna Heroica1
Sport Huancayo3
Los Chankas1
Cienciano2
AD Tarma3
Moquegua1
Deportivo Garcilaso0
Quarter-finals
Alianza Atl.-
Cajamarca-
Atletico Grau-
Sport Boys-
Sporting Cristal-
Sport Huancayo-
AD Tarma-
Moquegua-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-