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Calasparra FC vs Deportivo Murcia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Calasparra FC
6%
Draws
90%
Deportivo Murcia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Murcia have won more games recently than Calasparra FC.
  • Deportivo Murcia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Calasparra FC Clean Sheet 16%
Deportivo Murcia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calasparra FC Deportivo Murcia
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 5.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 5.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs Deportivo Murcia
1:1
Aug 30, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Murcia vs Calasparra FC
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calasparra FC 10 / 100
Deportivo Murcia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calasparra FC Deportivo Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Calasparra FC scored in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Deportivo Murcia let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Calasparra FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Calasparra FC VS Deportivo Murcia
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 5.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Calasparra FC

(Home)
15 May
Pinatar
4 : 3
Calasparra FC
08 May
Calasparra FC
1 : 1
Cartagena FC UCAM
01 May
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Calasparra FC
21 Apr
Calasparra FC
2 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
17 Apr
UCAM Murcia
6 : 0
Calasparra FC
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Deportivo Murcia

(Away)
02 Nov
Deportivo Murcia
0 : 10
Alaves
12 Oct
Melilla CD
1 : 3
Deportivo Murcia
16 May
Deportivo Murcia
0 : 0
Lorca Deportiva II
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8
Deportivo Murcia
03 May
Deportivo Murcia
2 : 3
Yeclano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caravaca382765115:2687
2Moratalla38258582:3283
3Cartagena La Union382311476:2780
4Yeclano38248683:3780
5Pinatar38219877:3772
6Mazarron CF381910981:4667
7Ciudad Cieza381614877:4562
8Futbol Club Jumilla381614863:3562
9Beniel3815111239:3256
10Santomera3813101551:6649
11CA Pulpileno381371850:6746
12Deportivo Murcia381291759:5645
13Lorca Deportiva II389151449:5442
14Bala Azul381242252:8640
15Plus Ultra3810101843:6440
16Calasparra FC389131643:6040
17CD Lumbreras38862441:9030
18Pozo Estrecho38862440:8830
19Muleno CF384112333:8523
20Ciudad Lorca38423232:1539
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)