Sport Picks
Calcio Chieti vs Fermana Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 Stadio Guido Angelini, Chieti 
Match Events
12'
12'
Valsecchi P.
47'
47'
Di Filippo N.
77'
77'
Romizi M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 game between Calcio Chieti and Fermana finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calcio Chieti.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calcio Chieti
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Calcio Chieti carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Calcio Chieti a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 68%
Fermana Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Calcio Chieti | Fermana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.49 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Fermana
2:1
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Calcio Chieti
1:1
Feb 5, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Calcio Chieti
0:0
Oct 2, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Fermana
1:5
Jan 17, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Fermana
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Calcio Chieti Compare
Top Goalscorer Di Filippo N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Forgione C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42
Fermana Compare
Top Goalscorer Valsecchi P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Calcio Chieti 59 / 100
Fermana 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Calcio Chieti Fermana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Calcio Chieti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Calcio Chieti's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 37 recent games.
Fermana let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Calcio Chieti went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Calcio Chieti VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Calcio Chieti
(Home) 03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0 Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0 Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 8
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0 Unipomezia
29 Mar
Calcio Chieti
2 : 1 Recanatese
15 Mar
Calcio Chieti
1 : 1 San Marino Calcio
Page 1 of 4
Fermana
(Away) 04 May
Castelfidardo
1 : 0 Fermana
27 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2 Sambenedettese
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2 Civitanovese Calcio
13 Apr
Termoli
1 : 1 Fermana
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0 Avezzano
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Castelfidardo
1 : 0 Fermana
13 Apr
Termoli
1 : 1 Fermana
30 Mar
AS Sora
2 : 2 Fermana
09 Mar
Teramo
1 : 0 Fermana
23 Feb
Calcio Chieti
2 : 1 Fermana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 61:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 62 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 51:33 | 60 |
| 4 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Fossombrone | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44:36 | 50 |
| 6 | Ancona | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 35:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Avezzano | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:34 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:39 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:38 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Recanatese | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:53 | 40 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 32:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:45 | 38 |
| 15 | Civitanovese Calcio | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 31:39 | 37 |
| 16 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Isernia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 18 | Fermana | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 24:42 | 27 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)
