Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Calcio Chieti vs Montegiorgio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 Stadio Guido Angelini, Chieti
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Diop I.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between Calcio Chieti and Montegiorgio finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montegiorgio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Calcio Chieti
15%
Draws
20%
Montegiorgio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calcio Chieti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Calcio Chieti come out ahead of Montegiorgio on wins alone.
  • Model gives Calcio Chieti a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 68%
Montegiorgio Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Chieti Montegiorgio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.77 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Montegiorgio
0:1
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Calcio Chieti
1:0
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Montegiorgio
0:1
Dec 5, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Calcio Chieti
0:2
Feb 15, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Montegiorgio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calcio Chieti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Montegiorgio Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Chieti 77 / 100
Montegiorgio 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Chieti Montegiorgio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calcio Chieti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montegiorgio has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Calcio Chieti went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Montegiorgio has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Calcio Chieti VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Calcio Chieti

(Home)
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3
Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0
Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0
Calcio Chieti
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Montegiorgio

(Away)
14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Montegiorgio
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0
Montegiorgio
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1
Matese
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1
Montegiorgio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)