Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2018/2019

Caldas SC

1 - 2

Gafanha

Our Tip

Match Events

Tavares D.

18'

Tavares D.

67'

Elisson Baiano

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Gafanha advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Caldas SC

15%

Draws

39%

Gafanha

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caldas SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Caldas SC carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Caldas SC's way, sitting at 60%.
Caldas SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Gafanha, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Caldas SC Clean Sheet 20%

Gafanha Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Caldas SC	Gafanha
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	4	3
Losses	17	19
Goals Scored	0.94	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.39	2.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.04	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2018 Taça de Portugal

Caldas SC vs Gafanha

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldas SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.52

Gafanha Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares D.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldas SC 58 / 100

Gafanha 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Caldas SC Gafanha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldas SC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gafanha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Caldas SC found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Caldas SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caldas SC VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

0.88 Goals Conceded 0

38% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldas SC

(Home)

13 Sept

Caldas SC

2 : 0

Vitoria Sernache

04 Sept

Santarem

0 : 1

Caldas SC

30 Aug

Caldas SC

1 : 3

Sintrense

23 Aug

Caldas SC

2 : 4

Louletano

16 Aug

Caldas SC

0 : 0

Lusitano GC

Page 1 of 7

Gafanha

(Away)

12 May

Gafanha

0 : 4

SC Espinho

05 May

Amarante FC

2 : 1

Gafanha

28 Apr

Gafanha

2 : 1

Lusitano FCV

20 Apr

Gondomar

6 : 1

Gafanha

14 Apr

Gafanha

2 : 1

Meda

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

FC Porto -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 2

Nogueirense 0

GD Uniao Torcatense 1

SC Vila Real 2

Amora 3

Louletano 2

Regua 2

Lamego 3

TBD -

BSAD -

Covilha -

TBD -

Meda 0

FC Cesarense 1

Mafra -

TBD -

Valenciano 0

AD Limianos 4

Sao Martinho 6

Machico 1

Lusitano FCV 2

Beira Mar 4

TBD -

Moreirense -

Tondela -

TBD -

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2

Uniao SC 1

TBD -

Estoril -

Coimbroes -

TBD -

Mirandes -

Leiria 2

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vale Formoso -

Anadia 3

Penalva do Castelo 1

Praia Milfontes 0

Aljustrelense 1

Tomar 2

UC Idanhense 1

TBD -

Vilafranquense -

Amarante FC 6

AD Oliveirense 0

TBD -

Vila Flor -

Leca -

TBD -

Leixoes -

Aves -

TBD -

Varzim -

TBD -

Alverca 1

Sacavenense 2

Portimonense -

TBD -

Gondomar 2

Leca 0

TBD -

Cova De Piedade -

Santa Clara -

TBD -

CD Torres Novas -

TBD -

Mirandes 0

Maria de Fonte 4

Pedras Salgadas 3

CDC Montalegre 2

TBD -

Academica -

TBD -

Chaves -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Beneditense -

TBD -

Juv. Evora 1

Armacenenses 3

AD Fafe 2

GD Joane 0

TBD -

Sporting Ideal -

Trofense 1

Vizela 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

SC Praiense 3

Redondense 0

Vale Formoso 0

Pinhalnovense 5

SC Lourinhanense -

TBD -

Gafetense 0

Santa Iria 8

FC Felgueiras 9

Vila Flor 0

TBD -

GD Joane -

TBD -

Braga -

Benfica -

TBD -

Vitoria Sernache 1

Alcains 0

Beneditense 0

Sertanense 2

SC Farense -

TBD -

Portalegrense -

Cacadores Taipas 3

Vilaverdense FC 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Agueda 2

Trancoso 1

TBD -

Famalicao -

Valadares Gaia FC 1

Paredes 0

TBD -

Louletano -

Oriental 3

FC Barreirense 1

Ferreiras 0

Lusitano GC 1

GD Peniche 2

SC Lourinhanense 1

TBD -

CDC Montalegre -

Boavista -

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Fatima -

Academico Viseu -

TBD -

Alverca -

Sintrense 2

1º Dezembro 1

Cinfaes 0

SC Espinho 1

U. Madeira 3

Lusitania FC 1

Vieira 1

Merelinense 3

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2

CD Torres Novas 0

TBD -

Uniao SC -

Valenciano -

TBD -

Praia Milfontes -

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Feirense -

TBD -

Real SC 2

Sporting Ideal 0

Pedras Rubras 1

SC Mirandela 2

Moura AC 1

Almancilense 0

Coimbroes 0

Rio Tinto 2

TBD -

Maritimo -

Casa Pia 6

Graciosa FC 0

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Montijo 1

Vila Silgueiros -

TBD -

Maritimo Graciosa 0

SC Angrense 3

Gafanha 2

Vila Silgueiros 0

Vilafranquense 0

Caldas SC 1

Condeixa 3

Macao 2

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Eirense 2

CD Gouveia 0

Coutada 0

Torreense 2

Chaves B 6

Vinhais 1

SC Vianense 0

Gil Vicente 1

Paredes -

TBD -

Olhanense 0

Silves FC 1

Lusitano FCV -

TBD -

FC Pampilhosa 0

Oliveira Hospital 1

TBD -

Nacional -

GS Loures 6

Portalegrense 1

Fatima 0

Oleiros 2

TBD -

Sporting CP -

1/64-finals

FC Porto -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 2

SC Vila Real 3

Amora 8

Lamego 0

TBD -

BSAD -

Covilha 2

FC Cesarense 1

Mafra 1

AD Limianos 2

Sao Martinho 1

Beira Mar 0

TBD -

Moreirense -

Tondela -

TBD -

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0

Estoril 1

Coimbroes 3

Mirandes 2

Leiria 0

Vale Formoso 3

Anadia 3

Aljustrelense 1

Tomar 0

Vilafranquense 3

Amarante FC 5

Vila Flor 0

Leca 0

Leixoes 3

Aves -

TBD -

Varzim 1

Sacavenense 2

Portimonense -

TBD -

Gondomar 1

Cova De Piedade 2

Santa Clara -

TBD -

CD Torres Novas 0

Maria de Fonte 4

Pedras Salgadas 1

Academica 0

TBD -

Chaves -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Beneditense 0

Armacenenses 3

AD Fafe 1

Sporting Ideal 0

Trofense 2

Penafiel 3

SC Praiense 5

Pinhalnovense 1

SC Lourinhanense 1

Santa Iria 3

FC Felgueiras 2

GD Joane 0

TBD -

Braga -

Benfica -

TBD -

Vitoria Sernache 1

Sertanense 3

SC Farense 3

Portalegrense 0

Cacadores Taipas 0

Arouca 1

Agueda 1

Famalicao 0

Valadares Gaia FC 0

Louletano 1

Oriental 3

Lusitano GC 1

GD Peniche 1

CDC Montalegre 3

Boavista -

TBD -

Oliveirense 0

Fatima 1

Academico Viseu 3

Alverca 0

Sintrense 0

SC Espinho 1

U. Madeira 3

Merelinense 0

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2

Uniao SC 4

Valenciano 5

Praia Milfontes 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Feirense -

TBD -

Real SC 0

SC Mirandela 1

Moura AC 4

Rio Tinto 1

TBD -

Maritimo -

Casa Pia 2

Montijo 0

Vila Silgueiros 0

SC Angrense 2

Gafanha 2

Caldas SC 1

Condeixa 1

Pacos Ferreira 3

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Eirense 0

Torreense 3

Chaves B 1

Gil Vicente 0

Paredes 1

Silves FC 2

Lusitano FCV 2

Oliveira Hospital 1

TBD -

Nacional -

GS Loures 1

Oleiros 0

TBD -

Sporting CP -

1/32-finals

FC Porto 6

SC Vila Real 0

Amora 3

BSAD 4

Covilha 2

AD Limianos 0

Sao Martinho 0

Moreirense 1

Tondela 2

Estoril 1

Coimbroes 3

Vale Formoso 4

Anadia 4

Vilafranquense 0

Amarante FC 1

Leixoes 3

Aves 3

Sacavenense 1

Portimonense 1

Cova De Piedade 2

Santa Clara 2

Maria de Fonte 1

Pedras Salgadas 1

Chaves 4

Vitoria Setubal 2

Armacenenses 1

AD Fafe 0

Penafiel 1

SC Praiense 2

Santa Iria 0

FC Felgueiras 0

Braga 1

Benfica 3

Sertanense 0

SC Farense 1

Arouca 3

Agueda 1

Louletano 0

Oriental 1

CDC Montalegre 2

Boavista 4

Fatima 1

Academico Viseu 3

SC Espinho 4

U. Madeira 2

Uniao SC 0

Valenciano 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 7

Feirense 2

SC Mirandela 1

Moura AC 0

Maritimo 1

Casa Pia 2

SC Angrense 1

Gafanha 0

Pacos Ferreira 2

Rio Ave 5

Torreense 1

Chaves B 1

Silves FC 2

Lusitano FCV 4

Nacional 3

GS Loures 1

Sporting CP 2

1/16-finals

FC Porto 2

BSAD 0

Covilha 0

Moreirense 3

Tondela 7

Vale Formoso 0

Anadia 0

Leixoes 1

Aves 3

Cova De Piedade 0

Santa Clara 1

Chaves 2

Vitoria Setubal 4

Penafiel 1

SC Praiense 1

Braga 2

Benfica 2

Arouca 1

Agueda 0

CDC Montalegre 1

Boavista 4

SC Espinho 0

U. Madeira 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Feirense 3

Maritimo 0

Casa Pia 1

Pacos Ferreira 3

Rio Ave 7

Silves FC 0

Lusitano FCV 1

Sporting CP 4

1/8-finals

FC Porto 4

Moreirense 3

Tondela 2

Leixoes 3

Aves 2

Chaves 0

Vitoria Setubal 0

Braga 1

Benfica 1

CDC Montalegre 0

Boavista 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Feirense 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Rio Ave 2

Sporting CP 5

Quarter-finals

FC Porto 2

Leixoes 1

Aves 1

Braga 2

Benfica 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

Feirense 0

Sporting CP 2

Semi-finals

FC Porto 4

Braga 1

Benfica 2

Sporting CP 2

Final

FC Porto 2

Sporting CP 3

Caldas SC vs Gafanha

Portugal

Caldas SC

Gafanha

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Caldas SC Compare

Gafanha Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Caldas SC

Gafanha

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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