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Caldicot vs Llwydcoed

Wales Wales

Division 1
Caldicot Logo

Caldicot

0 - 2
FT
Llwydcoed Logo

Llwydcoed

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Caldicot and Llwydcoed finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llwydcoed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Caldicot
15%
Draws
42%
Llwydcoed
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caldicot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caldicot come out ahead of Llwydcoed on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Caldicot Clean Sheet 20%
Llwydcoed Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldicot Llwydcoed
Matches Played 18 16
Wins 7 2
Draws 1 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.56 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2020 Division 1
Llwydcoed vs Caldicot
0:0
Jan 11, 2020 Division 1
Caldicot vs Llwydcoed
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldicot 32 / 100
Llwydcoed 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldicot Llwydcoed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llwydcoed let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Caldicot's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Llwydcoed's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Caldicot VS Llwydcoed
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldicot

(Home)
18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 3
Caldicot
21 Sept
Caldicot
1 : 2
Morriston Town
17 Sept
Pill
4 : 0
Caldicot
04 Sept
Pure Swansea
6 : 3
Caldicot
Page 1 of 4

Llwydcoed

(Away)
18 Oct
Llwydcoed
2 : 5
Treowen
27 Sept
Llwydcoed
3 : 1
Lliswerry
14 Jun
Caerau Ely
4 : 3
Llwydcoed
21 Sept
Newport Corinthians
1 : 0
Llwydcoed
07 Mar
Llwydcoed
0 : 2
Port Talbot
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 20 17 3 0 64:23 54
2 Port Talbot 18 10 5 3 33:16 35
3 Risca United 16 10 3 3 32:24 33
4 Goytre AFC 18 9 5 4 46:22 32
5 Garden Village 20 8 5 7 25:29 29
6 Caldicot 18 8 2 8 27:25 26
7 Penydarren 13 7 3 3 26:22 24
8 Ton Pentre 19 6 4 9 31:42 22
9 Bridgend Street 15 6 3 6 35:25 21
10 Pontardawe 16 5 4 7 22:28 19
11 Abergavenny Town 20 5 3 12 25:42 18
12 Aberbargoed Buds 15 4 4 7 25:31 16
13 Monmouth 17 4 2 11 27:39 14
14 Llwydcoed 16 3 5 8 20:33 14
15 Croesyceiliog FC 13 3 4 6 19:27 13
16 Dinas Powys 18 2 3 13 28:57 9
Promotion - Cymru South 2020/2021 (Main)