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Calleja vs Universidad Santa Cruz

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calleja in this Nacional B 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calleja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Calleja
6%
Draws
90%
Universidad Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Universidad Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Calleja have won more games recently than Universidad Santa Cruz.
  • Model gives Universidad Santa Cruz a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nacional B 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Calleja Clean Sheet 10%
Universidad Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calleja Universidad Santa Cruz
Matches Played 18 8
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 2.88 3.2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 3.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2013 Copa Simon Bolivar
Calleja vs Universidad Santa Cruz
3:2
Oct 19, 2013 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universidad Santa Cruz vs Calleja
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calleja 10 / 100
Universidad Santa Cruz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calleja Universidad Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calleja's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Universidad Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 63% of their last 8 outings.

Solid form: Calleja remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Calleja VS Universidad Santa Cruz
2.88 Goals Scored 3.2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.4
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Pando844018:716
2Calleja843125:915
3Universidad Santa Cruz842221:1114
4La Palmera822413:148
5Municipal Cobija80174:401
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Em Huanuni844013:916
2Tiquipaya843110:515
3Maestranza833221:1012
4La Paz831413:1210
5Chaco Petrolero80177:281
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Garcia Agreda870115:621
2Petrolero de Yacuiba852117:217
3Ciclon84228:414
4Fancesa811610:164
5Atletico Nacional Emilio Alave80175:271