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Calvary vs Buhimba

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Midigo P/S Play Ground, Yumbe
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Olaboro L.
45' Event
Olaboro L.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Calvary and Buhimba finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calvary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Calvary
20%
Draws
0%
Buhimba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calvary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Buhimba's 0.53 goals per match outpaces what Calvary have produced (0.47).
  • Win probability leans Calvary's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Calvary Clean Sheet 20%
Buhimba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvary Buhimba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 9 3
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 0.47 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Calvary vs Buhimba
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Buhimba vs Calvary
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Big League
Buhimba vs Calvary
2:1
Oct 21, 2024 Big League
Calvary vs Buhimba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calvary Compare

Top Goalscorer Olaboro L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Buhimba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvary 85 / 100
Buhimba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvary Buhimba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvary Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buhimba let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Buhimba registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Calvary has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calvary VS Buhimba
0.63 Goals Scored 0.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvary

(Home)
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
19 May
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Calvary
12 May
Uganda Revenue
1 : 1
Calvary
06 May
Calvary
1 : 0
Police
29 Apr
Entebbe UPPC
2 : 0
Calvary
Page 1 of 6

Buhimba

(Away)
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Mbarara City
2 : 0
Buhimba
13 May
NEC FC
3 : 0
Buhimba
08 May
Buhimba
0 : 2
Express FC
29 Apr
Buhimba
0 : 2
Lugazi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)