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Cambados vs Arosa SC

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Conde D.
Own Goal
36' Event
Fernandez M.
38'
Pazos R.

AI Match Summary

Arosa SC in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arosa SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cambados
20%
Draws
80%
Arosa SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arosa SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arosa SC lately — more wins on the board than Cambados.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Arosa SC taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cambados Clean Sheet 13%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambados Arosa SC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 18
Draws 12 9
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.77 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cambados vs Arosa SC
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Cambados
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambados Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Arosa SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambados 11 / 100
Arosa SC 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambados Arosa SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arosa SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arosa SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Cambados's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Arosa SC registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cambados VS Arosa SC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambados

(Home)
10 May
Montaneros
4 : 1
Cambados
02 May
Cambados
0 : 2
Arosa SC
25 Apr
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 0
Cambados
19 Apr
Cambados
0 : 3
Noia
12 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 0
Cambados
Page 1 of 6

Arosa SC

(Away)
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)