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Cambrian United vs Bangor 1876 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
05:35 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Cambrian United have averaged 2.06 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Bangor 1876's 2.24 scored and 1.66 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.81 - 2.88) back Cambrian United to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cambrian United
30%
Draws
47%
Bangor 1876
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bangor 1876

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cambrian United come out ahead of Bangor 1876 on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Bangor 1876 taking it.
  • Cambrian United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambrian United Bangor 1876
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.06 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambrian United 10 / 100
Bangor 1876 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambrian United Bangor 1876

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangor 1876 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambrian United's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bangor 1876 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Cambrian United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Bangor 1876 has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cambrian United VS Bangor 1876
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambrian United

(Home)
06 Nov
Cambrian United
3 : 3
Barry Town
30 Oct
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0
Cambrian United
23 Oct
Cambrian United
2 : 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC
16 Oct
Cambrian United
5 : 0
Trethomas Bluebirds
09 Oct
Cambrian United
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 7

Bangor 1876

(Away)
06 Nov
Bangor 1876
9 : 0
Gresford
31 Oct
Caersws FC
1 : 1
Bangor 1876
16 Oct
Denbigh
0 : 2
Bangor 1876
10 Oct
Newtown
0 : 0
Bangor 1876
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Llannefydd 0
Llandudno FC 1
Cefn Albion 2
Felinheli 3
Trefelin 4
Llantwit Major 1
Coedpoeth 4
Guilsfield 3
Flint Town 1
Caernarfon 3
Llay Welfare 3
Holywell Town FC 4
Evans Williams 3
Rockspur 4
Pontarddulais 3
Goytre Utd 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
TNS 2
Briton Ferry 5
Afan United 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
Penycae FC 1
Dolgellau Athletic 4
Caerau Ely 6
Llanelli 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llangefni 0
Afan Lido 2
Penybont 3
Radnor Valley 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Aberystwyth 5
Prestatyn 1
Llantwit Fardre 1
Baglan Dragons 3
Barry Town 2
Tredegar Town 0
Bala 3
Holyhead 4
Blaen-y-Maes 5
Ely Rangers 2
Llangennech 2
Pontardawe 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Newport City 5
Haverfordwest 4
Cardiff Corries 0
Cwmaman Institute 2
Ammanford Town 4
Newtown 7
Llanuwchllyn 0
Caerphilly 1
Chepstow Town 0
Cambrian United 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Denbigh 0
Bangor 1876 2
Connahs Q. 4
Porthmadog 0
Llysfaen 0
Mochdre Sports 2
1/16-finals
Llandudno FC -
Felinheli -
Trefelin -
Coedpoeth -
Caernarfon -
Holywell Town FC -
Rockspur -
Pontarddulais -
TNS -
Briton Ferry -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Caerau Ely -
Brickfield Rangers -
Penybont -
Cardiff Draconians -
Colwyn Bay -
Aberystwyth -
Baglan Dragons -
Barry Town -
Holyhead -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Llangennech -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Ammanford Town -
Newtown -
Caerphilly -
Cambrian United -
Bangor 1876 -
Connahs Q. -
Mochdre Sports -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
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