Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambuur vs Almere City

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Apkakou E.
24' Event
de Haan M.
35' Event
van der Sande J.
Assist: Apkakou E.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Cambuur and Almere City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambuur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cambuur
33%
Draws
40%
Almere City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cambuur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Almere City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cambuur here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 18%
Almere City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambuur Almere City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Almere City
3:2
Oct 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Cambuur
1:1
Feb 28, 2021 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Cambuur
0:2
Nov 15, 2020 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Almere City
7:2
Feb 14, 2020 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Cambuur
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambuur Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Sande J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Amofa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer de Haan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Nijs O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambuur 28 / 100
Almere City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambuur Almere City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambuur scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Almere City conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Cambuur has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cambuur VS Almere City
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambuur

(Home)
28 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 2
Volos
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1
Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 0
Utrecht
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
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Almere City

(Away)
25 Jul
Almere City
8 : 4
TOP Oss
15 Jul
Almere City
2 : 1
FC Volendam
11 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
Almere City
08 Jul
G.A. Eagles
2 : 1
Almere City
04 Jul
Almere City
2 : 1
Telstar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)