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Stadium Background

Cambuur vs Excelsior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Cambuur Logo

Cambuur

0 - 4
FT
Excelsior Logo

Excelsior

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Yegoian I.
Assist: de Regt G.
31' Event
Naujoks N.
Assist: Yegoian I.
42' Event
Garden D.
Assist: Janssen S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Excelsior in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Cambuur
15%
Draws
16%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cambuur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Cambuur haven't matched Excelsior's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cambuur's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 17%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambuur Excelsior
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Eredivisie
Cambuur vs Excelsior
0:4
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Excelsior vs Cambuur
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Excelsior
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Excelsior
0:1
Jan 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Excelsior
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambuur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer Naujoks N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yegoian I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambuur 84 / 100
Excelsior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambuur Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambuur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambuur scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Excelsior conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Cambuur went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cambuur VS Excelsior
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambuur

(Home)
31 Oct
Cambuur
4 : 0
G.A. Eagles
27 Oct
VV Kloetinge
0 : 2
Cambuur
24 Oct
Willem II
1 : 6
Cambuur
18 Oct
Cambuur
2 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
11 Oct
Zwolle
0 : 1
Cambuur
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior

(Away)
01 Nov
Excelsior
0 : 9
Twente
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3
Excelsior
25 Oct
Sittard
1 : 0
Excelsior
16 Oct
Heerenveen
4 : 0
Excelsior
11 Oct
Excelsior
1 : 5
Groningen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33:12 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 30:13 24
3 PSV 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
4 Twente 11 7 2 2 28:10 23
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 20:13 20
6 Sittard 11 5 4 2 18:18 19
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19:13 18
8 Groningen 11 4 3 4 26:24 15
9 Cambuur 11 4 3 4 23:22 15
10 G.A. Eagles 11 3 5 3 23:27 14
11 Sparta Rotterdam 11 3 3 5 20:26 12
12 Utrecht 11 3 3 5 19:31 12
13 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17:19 11
14 Zwolle 11 3 2 6 12:23 11
15 Excelsior 11 3 2 6 16:28 11
16 Telstar 11 2 3 6 16:23 9
17 Den Haag 11 1 3 7 13:24 6
18 Willem II 11 0 2 9 10:39 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)