Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambuur vs Excelsior

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cambuur host Excelsior in the Eredivisie. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Excelsior have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Cambuur have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Cambuur have won 3 to Excelsior's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.88, favoring Cambuur. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Cambuur
17%
Draws
70%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Excelsior haven't matched Cambuur's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambuur Excelsior
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Excelsior vs Cambuur
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Excelsior
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Excelsior
0:1
Jan 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Excelsior
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Cambuur
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambuur 14 / 100
Excelsior 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambuur Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambuur scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Excelsior conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Cambuur went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cambuur VS Excelsior
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambuur

(Home)
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1
Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 0
Utrecht
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
24 Apr
Cambuur
2 : 1
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior

(Away)
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5
Excelsior
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3
Excelsior
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Excelsior
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
17 May
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3
Excelsior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cambuur00000:00
2Sittard00000:00
3Telstar00000:00
4Zwolle00000:00
5PSV00000:00
6Ajax00000:00
7Twente00000:00
8Heerenveen00000:00
9Feyenoord00000:00
10Nijmegen00000:00
11Utrecht00000:00
12AZ Alkmaar00000:00
13Sparta Rotterdam00000:00
14Willem II00000:00
15Excelsior00000:00
16Den Haag00000:00
17G.A. Eagles00000:00
18Groningen00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)