Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Yegoian I.
Assist: de Regt G.
31'
31'
Naujoks N.
Assist: Yegoian I.
42'
42'
Garden D.
Assist: Janssen S.
AI Match Summary
Excelsior in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cambuur haven't matched Excelsior's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Excelsior's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cambuur | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Eredivisie
Cambuur vs Excelsior
0:4
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Excelsior vs Cambuur
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Excelsior
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Excelsior
0:1
Jan 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Excelsior
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cambuur Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Naujoks N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Yegoian I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cambuur 18 / 100
Excelsior 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cambuur Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cambuur scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Excelsior conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Cambuur went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cambuur VS Excelsior
0.88 Goals Scored 2.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cambuur
(Home) 12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0 Nijmegen
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2 Cambuur
30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4 Twente
23 Aug
Cambuur
2 : 5 Feyenoord
15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1 Cambuur
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0 Nijmegen
30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4 Twente
23 Aug
Cambuur
2 : 5 Feyenoord
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
28 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 2 Volos
Page 1 of 4
Excelsior
(Away) 13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2 Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2 PSV
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Ajax | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:14 | 10 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 10 | Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Willem II | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:19 | 2 |
| 18 | Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
