Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cameroon W vs Mali W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Complexe sportif de Fès, Fès
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ngah M.
Assist: Ngock M.
21'
Bihina M.
30' Event
Traore A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cameroon W
30%
Draws
19%
Mali W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cameroon W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Mali W haven't matched Cameroon W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cameroon W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Cameroon W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cameroon W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cameroon W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Cameroon W Clean Sheet 68%
Mali W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cameroon W Mali W
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 2.16
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Cameroon W vs Mali W
2:1
Nov 30, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Cameroon W vs Mali W
4:2
Nov 17, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Cameroon W
1:2
Oct 16, 2016 Friendly International Women
Mali W vs Cameroon W
0:0
Oct 13, 2016 Friendly International Women
Mali W vs Cameroon W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cameroon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngah M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Mali W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cameroon W 95 / 100
Mali W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cameroon W Mali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cameroon W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Cameroon W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Cameroon W scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Mali W conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cameroon W VS Mali W
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cameroon W

(Home)
16 Aug
Cameroon W
3 : 0
Malawi W
12 Aug
Morocco W
0 : 1
Cameroon W
09 Aug
Cameroon W
1 : 0
Nigeria W
06 Aug
Cape Verde W
1 : 1
Cameroon W
02 Aug
Ghana W
0 : 1
Cameroon W
Page 1 of 6

Mali W

(Away)
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)