Sport Picks
Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC
Australia
NPL South Australia Steve Woodcock Sports Centre, Adelaide 
Match Events
39'
39'
Leombruno A.
70'
70'
Mori J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL South Australia game between Campbelltown City and Sturt Lions FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campbelltown City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sturt Lions FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sturt Lions FC come out ahead of Campbelltown City on wins alone.
- Model gives Sturt Lions FC a 60% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Campbelltown City have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Campbelltown City Clean Sheet 16%
Sturt Lions FC Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Campbelltown City | Sturt Lions FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC
2:0
May 13, 2023 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC
3:1
Feb 18, 2023 NPL South Australia
Sturt Lions FC vs Campbelltown City
1:2
Jul 2, 2022 NPL South Australia
Sturt Lions FC vs Campbelltown City
0:1
Apr 2, 2022 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Campbelltown City Compare
Top Goalscorer Leombruno A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mori J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Sturt Lions FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Campbelltown City 19 / 100
Sturt Lions FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Campbelltown City Sturt Lions FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick STU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Campbelltown City scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Sturt Lions FC let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Campbelltown City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Campbelltown City VS Sturt Lions FC
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Campbelltown City
(Home) 25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2 Campbelltown City
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0 Adelaide Comets
04 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
0 : 0 Campbelltown City
27 Jun
Campbelltown City
0 : 0 West Adelaide
20 Jun
Playford Patriots
4 : 1 Campbelltown City
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17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0 Adelaide Comets
27 Jun
Campbelltown City
0 : 0 West Adelaide
12 Jun
Campbelltown City
1 : 2 West Torrens Birkalla
06 Jun
Campbelltown City
3 : 0 Para
23 May
Campbelltown City
2 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
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Sturt Lions FC
(Away) 25 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
2 : 3 Sturt Lions FC
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
04 Jul
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 0 Playford Patriots
26 Jun
West Torrens Birkalla
4 : 1 Sturt Lions FC
20 Jun
Sturt Lions FC
6 : 0 Para
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
2 : 3 Sturt Lions FC
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
26 Jun
West Torrens Birkalla
4 : 1 Sturt Lions FC
13 Jun
MetroStars
1 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
05 Jun
Adelaide City
4 : 1 Sturt Lions FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 36:16 | 39 |
| 2 | MetroStars | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 49:22 | 37 |
| 3 | West Torrens Birkalla | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 45:27 | 36 |
| 4 | Playford Patriots | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 40:28 | 32 |
| 5 | FK Beograd | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 31:22 | 30 |
| 6 | Croydon | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 42:34 | 29 |
| 7 | Sturt Lions FC | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 33:32 | 25 |
| 8 | Adelaide Utd U23 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26:27 | 25 |
| 9 | Campbelltown City | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 30:31 | 23 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 36:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 20:35 | 16 |
| 12 | Para | 19 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11:90 | 2 |
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)
