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Campo Novo U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Campo Novo U20 play Nova Mutum EC U20 in the Matogrossense U20 2024. Nova Mutum EC U20 are favorites here. Recently, Campo Novo U20 averaged 1.06 goals scored and 4.31 conceded. Nova Mutum EC U20 averaged 3.29 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. In past meetings, Campo Novo U20 won 0, Nova Mutum EC U20 won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 23, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Campo Novo U20 and 2.13 for Nova Mutum EC U20. This points to a Nova Mutum EC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Campo Novo U20
15%
Draws
70%
Nova Mutum EC U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nova Mutum EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Campo Novo U20 picked up more points recently compared to Nova Mutum EC U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Campo Novo U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Nova Mutum EC U20 Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Novo U20 Nova Mutum EC U20
Matches Played 16 24
Wins 3 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.06 3.29
Goals Conceded 4.31 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Campo Novo U20
4:0
Aug 17, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Campo Novo U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20
0:4
Jun 23, 2024 Matogrossense U20
Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Campo Novo U20
11:0
Jun 4, 2024 Matogrossense U20
Campo Novo U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20
1:18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Novo U20 16 / 100
Nova Mutum EC U20 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Novo U20 Nova Mutum EC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Mutum EC U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nova Mutum EC U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Campo Novo U20 attacking → ← attacking Nova Mutum EC U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campo Novo U20 scored in 56% of their last 16 games.

Nova Mutum EC U20 let in goals in 54% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 9.50 goals.

Campo Novo U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Nova Mutum EC U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 53
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dom Bosco U20642014:714
2Academia U20632114:1011
3Uniao Rondonopolis U20622211:88
4Rondonopolis EC U2060068:220
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cuiaba U20660027:018
2Acao U2062135:87
3Mixto U2061326:136
4Várzea Grande EC U2060244:212
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nova Mutum EC U20660040:418
2Caceres U20631214:1010
3Santa Cruz MT U2061145:94
4Campo Novo U2061054:403
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Luverdense U20641110:413
2Sinop FC U2063219:311
3Juara U2062319:69
4Sport Sinop U2060063:180