Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Campobasso vs Monticelli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Campobasso in this Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Campobasso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Campobasso
30%
Draws
33%
Monticelli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Campobasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Campobasso have won more games recently than Monticelli.
  • Campobasso are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 20%
Monticelli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campobasso Monticelli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 5 13
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.48 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Campobasso vs Monticelli
3:0
Sep 10, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Campobasso
1:2
Apr 13, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Campobasso
2:1
Dec 4, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Campobasso vs Monticelli
0:0
Apr 3, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Campobasso
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campobasso 67 / 100
Monticelli 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campobasso Monticelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campobasso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Campobasso scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Monticelli let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Campobasso has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Campobasso VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Campobasso

(Home)
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4
Gubbio
01 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 1
Scafatese
Page 1 of 6

Monticelli

(Away)
06 May
ASD Francavilla
2 : 1
Monticelli
29 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 0
Castelfidardo
22 Apr
Agnonese
6 : 0
Monticelli
15 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2
Monticelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vis Pesaro 34 23 4 7 61:29 73
2 Matelica 34 22 5 7 66:28 71
3 Avezzano 34 16 14 4 51:26 62
4 Pineto 34 15 12 7 53:41 57
5 Aquila Calcio 34 15 10 9 57:40 55
6 ASD Francavilla 34 14 11 9 47:38 53
7 San Marino Calcio 34 15 6 13 45:35 51
8 Vastese 34 15 6 13 55:50 51
9 Sangiustese 34 13 9 12 39:41 48
10 Campobasso 34 13 10 11 41:40 45
11 Castelfidardo 34 12 8 14 43:54 44
12 Recanatese 34 12 7 15 47:47 43
13 Agnonese 34 11 8 15 34:35 41
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 7 16 42:51 40
15 Jesina 34 8 10 16 32:46 34
16 Monticelli 34 5 15 14 25:45 30
17 Fabriano Cerreto 34 5 5 24 29:69 20
18 Nerostellati Pratola 34 3 9 22 19:71 18
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)