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Campodarsego vs Caravaggio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Del Barba D.
17' Event
Zazzi F.
23' Event
Cupani M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Campodarsego and Caravaggio finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campodarsego.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Campodarsego
20%
Draws
29%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Campodarsego

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Campodarsego carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Campodarsego's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Campodarsego Clean Sheet 68%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campodarsego Caravaggio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.23 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Campodarsego vs Caravaggio
3:2
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Caravaggio vs Campodarsego
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campodarsego Compare

Top Goalscorer Cupani M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bailo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Del Barba D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zazzi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campodarsego 95 / 100
Caravaggio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campodarsego Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campodarsego Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Caravaggio conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Campodarsego scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Campodarsego has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Campodarsego VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Campodarsego

(Home)
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
12 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 1
Campodarsego
06 Sept
Campodarsego
4 : 0
Conegliano
03 May
Campodarsego
4 : 1
Cjarlins Muzane
26 Apr
Calvi Noale
1 : 0
Campodarsego
Page 1 of 7

Caravaggio

(Away)
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1
Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)