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Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

World World

World Championship 2026 BMO Field, Toronto, ON
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Match Events

11'
Johnston A.
21' Event
Lukic J.
Assist: Kolasinac S.
45'
Demirovic E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Canada
11%
Draws
9%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Canada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Bosnia & Herzegovina haven't matched Canada's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Canada a 80% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Canada Clean Sheet 68%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada Bosnia & Herzegovina
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 World Championship
Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada Compare

Top Goalscorer Larin C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bosnia & Herzegovina Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada 86 / 100
Bosnia & Herzegovina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada Bosnia & Herzegovina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bosnia & Herzegovina let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Canada scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Canada went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canada VS Bosnia & Herzegovina
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada

(Home)
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
24 Jun
Switzerland
2 : 1
Canada
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 7

Bosnia & Herzegovina

(Away)
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1
Qatar
18 Jun
Switzerland
4 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
06 Jun
Panama
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico33006:09
2South Africa31112:34
3South Korea31022:33
4Czech Republic30122:61
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland32107:37
2Canada31118:34
3Bosnia & Herzegovina31115:64
4Qatar30122:101
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brazil32107:17
2Morocco32106:37
3Scotland31021:43
4Haiti30032:80
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA32018:46
2Australia31112:24
3Paraguay31112:44
4Turkey31023:53
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany320110:46
2Ivory Coast32014:26
3Ecuador31112:24
4Curacao30121:91
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands321010:47
2Japan31207:35
3Sweden31117:74
4Tunisia30032:120
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium31206:25
2Egypt31205:35
3Iran30303:33
4New Zealand30124:101
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain32105:07
2Cape Verde30302:23
3Uruguay30213:42
4Saudi Arabia30211:52
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France330010:29
2Norway32018:76
3Senegal31028:63
4Iraq30031:120
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Argentina33008:19
2Austria31116:64
3Algeria31115:74
4Jordan30033:80
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombia32104:17
2Portugal31206:15
3D.R. Congo31114:34
4Uzbekistan30032:110
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England32106:27
2Croatia32015:56
3Ghana31112:24
4Panama30030:40
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Ranking of third-placed teams