Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Canada U17 W vs Mexico U17 W

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Jimenez Fortis N.
45' Event
Istocki G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Canada U17 W
30%
Draws
37%
Mexico U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Canada U17 W lately — more wins on the board than Mexico U17 W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mexico U17 W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Canada U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada U17 W Mexico U17 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 3.57 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Friendly International Women
Canada U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
1:1
Feb 9, 2024 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Canada U17 W
2:1
Sep 3, 2022 Friendly International Women
Mexico U17 W vs Canada U17 W
4:1
Nov 28, 2018 World Cup Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Canada U17 W
1:0
Jun 10, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Canada U17 W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Istocki G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Mexico U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez Fortis N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada U17 W 31 / 100
Mexico U17 W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada U17 W Mexico U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canada U17 W scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Mexico U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Canada U17 W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canada U17 W VS Mexico U17 W
3.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada U17 W

(Home)
19 Aug
USA U17 W
4 : 1
Canada U17 W
16 Aug
Canada U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
14 Aug
Chile U17 W
0 : 3
Canada U17 W
22 Mar
Canada U17 W
5 : 0
El Salvador U17 W
19 Mar
Dominican Republic U17 W
0 : 7
Canada U17 W
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Mexico U17 W

(Away)
16 Aug
Canada U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
13 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
22 Mar
Mexico U17 W
2 : 0
Costa Rica U17 W
19 Mar
Panama U17 W
1 : 6
Mexico U17 W
17 Mar
Mexico U17 W
9 : 0
Jamaica U17 W
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