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Canada U20 vs Dominican Republic U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 Estadio Sergio León Chavez, Irapuato
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Morgan M.
50'
Sub
Boatwright I. In: Royo D.
Out: Boatwright I.
59'
Greco-Taylor C.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 game between Canada U20 and Dominican Republic U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canada U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Canada U20
20%
Draws
42%
Dominican Republic U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dominican Republic U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dominican Republic U20 come out ahead of Canada U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dominican Republic U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Canada U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Dominican Republic U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada U20 Dominican Republic U20
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 1
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.43 2.23
Goals Conceded 1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
Canada U20 vs Dominican Republic U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciccarelli T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Dominican Republic U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada U20 19 / 100
Dominican Republic U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada U20 Dominican Republic U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dominican Republic U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canada U20 scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Dominican Republic U20 conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Canada U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Canada U20 VS Dominican Republic U20
3.38 Goals Scored 2.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada U20

(Home)
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
05 Aug
Canada U20
3 : 1
Jamaica U20
01 Aug
Canada U20
2 : 2
Jamaica U20
30 Jul
Canada U20
1 : 1
Honduras U20
26 Jul
Panama U20
0 : 3
Canada U20
Page 1 of 6

Dominican Republic U20

(Away)
03 Mar
Dominican Republic U20
0 : 1
Antigua and Barbuda U20
01 Mar
Saint Lucia U20
0 : 5
Dominican Republic U20
27 Feb
Dominican Republic U20
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands U20
25 Feb
Dominica U20
0 : 3
Dominican Republic U20
27 Jul
Honduras U20
5 : 2
Dominican Republic U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Costa Rica U20 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
3 Cuba U20 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Jamaica U20 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U20 3 2 1 0 11:5 7
2 Canada U20 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 El Salvador U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Dominican Republic U20 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Panama U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3 Guatemala U20 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Haiti U20 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams